AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am: PGA Golf Pick, Odds, Preview, Predictions, Dark Horses - 2/7/19
AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am
Thursday, February 7, 2019 at 12:00 PM (Pebble Beach Golf Links)
We head to California for the fourth time this year for the 2019 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am, an event that debuted in 1937 and is played on three different courses. It was a great showing for us last week, as three of our five golfers for the Phoenix Open finished in the top-15 and Dustin Johnson cashed at +700 odds at the Saudi International. Let’s keep it going.
Here are five golfers to consider throwing on your card this week.
Jason Day - Jason Day is well rested after taking last week off, and he enters this event with a string of seven straight top-25 finishes. Day has finished double-digit strokes under par in four of those seven events and has missed the cut just twice since winning the Wells Fargo Championship back in May. Expect the hot streak to continue, as Day has made the cut all nine times at Pebble Beach and has finished 11th or better in five of his last six appearances. Of course, that includes a runner-up finish last year. Day and +900 odds this week is worth a play.
Dustin Johnson - We usually go for the longer shot players with more worthwhile odds, but Day and Dustin Johnson are head and shoulders the favorites this week, and he’s worth a play at +600 odds. Johnson is coming off a convincing victory at the Saudi International and has finished seven or more strokes under par in seven of his last nine performances. If that weren’t enough, Johnson has finished no worse than fifth in seven of his last 10 appearances at Pebble Beach, and he produced wins here in 2009 and 2010. Given the history, there’s a really good chance that playing Day and Johnson this week will produce a winner.
Phil Mickelson - Phil Mickelson missed the cut last week at the Phoenix Open, but he’s followed up the last three times he’s missed the cut with top-25 finishes. Mickelson has a ton of success throughout his career in California and Pebble Beach is no different, as he’s a four-time winner at this event and was runner-up in two of the last three years. Only Mark O'Meara has more victories at Pebble Beach than Mickelson. There’s reason to give Mickelson another chance at +2500 odds.
Brandt Snedeker - Brandt Snedeker is coming off back-to-back rough showings at the Phoenix Open and the Famers Insurance, but he still hasn’t missed a cut since The Open and has been able to sprinkle in some high impressive performances in-between the struggles. Snedeker won Pebble Beach in 2013 and 2015, and he had a fourth place finish here in 2017 and a top-25 finish last year. In other words, Snedeker has finished 21st or better in five of the last six times he’s made the cut at Pebble Beach. There’s value with Snedeker at +5000 odds if you’re able to overlook his past two showings.
Tony Finau - Tony Finau doesn’t have the experience that others have at Pebble Beach, and he’s coming off a missed cut at the Phoenix Open. The good news is the last time Finau missed a cut, he followed it up with a top-five finish at the US Open, and he’s still a golfer who has finished 15th or better in eight of his last 11 events. It’s only a matter of time before Finau starts finishing these tournaments and stops coming up just short. After a disappointing showing, I’ll back a motivated Finau at +2200 odds.