Valspar Championship: PGA Golf Pick, Odds, Preview, Predictions, Dark Horses - 3/21/19
Thursday, March 21, 2019 at 11:00 AM (Innisbrook Resort)
TV: GOLF, NBC
We’re in Florida for the fourth straight week as we gear up for the Valspar Championship, an event that debuted in 2000 and will be played at the Innisbrook Resort. We didn’t land a winner last week, but two of our five golfers finished inside the top-10, including Tommy Fleetwood, who had odds of +2800 and was in the thick of things until the final few holes.
Here are five golfers to consider throwing on your card this week.
Brandt Snedeker, +5500 - Brandt Snedeker is coming off one of his best performances lately with a -13 and top-five finish at the Players Championship, his first top-five finish since finishing runner-up at the Safeway Open. It makes sense to follow up this moment with these odds considering Snedeker has made the cut in eight of his nine appearances at the Valspar Championship, which includes two top-10 finishes. Snedeker is a golfer who can really string together solid performances, so he’s worth a look with these odds.
Gary Woodland, +2500 - Gary Woodland hasn’t done a ton of winning lately, but there’s few golfers who have been as consistent as him, finishing in the top-40 in 12 of his last 14 events and six strokes or more under par in five of his last six. Woodland is comfortable at this tournament considering he’s from the Orlando area, and he actually won the Valspar Championship in 2011. Woodland also has a top-10 finish here in 2014. In five made cuts at this event, Woodland is averaging a 27.6 finish, which is respectable when given a chance to make 25 times your money.
Jon Rahm, +1100 - Jon Rahm had a chance to win the Players Championship but fell apart late and had to settle for a 12th place finish. While it may be frustrating, Rahm has now finished 12th or better in seven of his last eight events and has finished double-digit strokes under par in six of his last eight events. Rahm will be making his debut at the Innisbrook Resort, but he’s in such good form that I’m not sure it matters. Whenever you can get +1000 or higher odds on Rahm, you have to consider it. He’s playing that well week to week.
Steve Stricker, +12500 - Outside of winning the Sanford International, it’s been really up and down for Steve Stricker as of late and his +4 at the Arnold Palmer doesn’t provide much confidence. There’s a reason why these odds are what they are. With that said, Stricker has made the cut in five of his eight appearances at the Valspar Championship and is averaging a finish of ninth place in those showings. If you’re looking for a big dark horse this week that has some bite, Stricker could be your guy.
Charl Schwartzel, +5500 - Charl Schwartzel has missed the cut in five of his last seven events, and he was awful last week in the Players Championship. Confidence can’t be too high right now. The good news is Schwartzel has finished 16th or better in the last three times he’s made the cut, which includes a third place finish in the South African Open. Schwartzel is either really good or really bad with very little in-between. Schwartzel won the Valspar Championship in 2016 and finished sixth in 2017. Here’s to hoping this is a week where Schwartzel can see the weekend given the trend of pushing the leaderboard when he does.