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2019 MLB Home Run Odds: Betting Preview, Prediction and Dark Horses

Adam Hunger-USA TODAY Sports

The 2019 MLB season is right around the corner, which means you should start doing your homework on future bets. Here we’ll be looking at five players who are worth a look when it comes to leading baseball in home runs.

Giancarlo Stanton, +700 - Giancarlo Stanton didn’t live up to the hype in his first season in New York and his 211 strikeouts were by far the most in his career. The good news is Stanton played the second most games in his career and topped 35 homers for the third time in the last five years. As long as Stanton is healthy, you have to like your chances of cashing this wager. His first year struggles likely had to do with nerves and caving to the pressure, as he went from playing in Miami where baseball is an afterthought to playing in New York where a World Series is expected. Those jitters should be gone in his second season. Nobody has the power Stanton has in the box. Even with him being the overall favorite for this title, there’s enough meat on the bone to warrant a bet.

Khris Davis, +2000 - Khris Davis led baseball last season with 48 homers and cashed a +2500 ticket. We’re still getting a very good price for Davis, who has 133 bombs in his last three seasons, which means he’s averaging a homer every 14.4 at bats during that span. It doesn’t matter that Davis plays in a brutal hitters park, as his consistency the last three years proves he’s one of the top hitters in the game today. In fact, Davis had just two less homers at home than on the road last season despite 34 less at bats. It doesn’t matter where the Athletics DH swings the bat. He’s leaving the yard a lot.

Joey Gallo, +1800 - Joey Gallo has a combined 81 homers the last two seasons, and those are his first two full seasons in the majors. During that span, Gallo is averaging a home run every 13.6 at bats, which is the second-best in the majors. Before the 2017 season, Gallo played in just 53 games. While it’s still somewhat of a small sample size, there’s enough here to suggest Gallo has quickly become one of the top power hitters in the sport. If he could just trim down those strikeouts, there’s a really good chance these odds have some life.

Rhys Hoskins, +5000 - Rhys Hoskins couldn’t keep the pace he had in 2017 in his first full season, but he still produced a respectable 34 homers and did a lot of his work in the second half of the season. Expecting a homer every 11.1 at bats is obviously unfair, but his first 203 games in the big leagues suggest he’s likely only scratching the surface. Hoskins is in a favorable position, especially with the additions of Jean Segura and Andrew McCutchen, which is only going to improve the quality of pitches he sees. If the Philadelphia Phillies get Bryce Harper or Manny Machado? H'll be the guy who benefits the most with all the improved talent in the lineup. Hoskins is a legit dark horse to lead the majors in home runs this season.

Gary Sanchez, +6000 - It’s no secret Gary Sanchez is coming off a horrible season where he hit just .186 and had more strikeouts than hits. It’s no surprise Sanchez was thrown in trade rumors last month involving J.T. Realmuto. I’m not giving up on Sanchez, however, as the guy is still a true power hitter playing in an extremely friendly park and is averaging 44 homers per 162 game season in the last three years. Sanchez is more than capable of turning it around and if he can actually stay healthy this time, he’s going to hit a respectable number of bombs. There’s a lot of upside here. This is a nice buy low spot on the Yankees catcher.

Randy Chambers has been with Sports Chat Place since 2014 and covers everything from the NFL to WNBA and tennis. Nobody works harder in this business in terms of content produced and amount of sports covered. Formerly a lead college football writer with Bleacher Report and has had his work featured at Fox Sports, CBS Sports and various other outlets.

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