Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Atlanta Braves - 5/11/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Atlanta Braves at Arizona Diamondbacks
Saturday, May 11, 2019 at 7:10 PM (Chase Field)
The Line: Atlanta Braves / Arizona Diamondbacks -- Over/Under:
TV: FSAZ, FSSO
The Atlanta Braves and Arizona Diamondbacks meet Saturday in MLB action at Chase Field.
The Atlanta Braves could use a win after splitting their last 12 games. The Braves have scored eight runs in their last three games and three or less runs in six of their last nine games. The Atlanta Braves have lost six of their last nine games when scoring three or less runs. Ozzie Albies leads the Braves with 46 hits and 19 RBI while Freddie Freeman and Nick Markakis have combined for 84 hits and 44 RBI. Kevin Gausman gets the ball, and he is 1-3 with a 5.00 ERA and 40 strikeouts this season. Gausman is 0-1 with a 4.63 ERA and 14 strikeouts in his career against the Diamondbacks.
The Arizona Diamondbacks look for a win after splitting their last eight games. The Diamondbacks have scored seven runs in their last three games and three or less runs in their last five games. The Arizona Diamondbacks have split their last eight games when scoring three or less runs. David Peralta leads the Diamondbacks with 51 hits and 26 RBI while Eduardo Escobar and Ketel Marte have combined for 79 hits and 49 RBI. Merrill Kelly gets the ball, and he is 3-3 with a 4.85 ERA and 31 strikeouts this season. This will be Kelly’s first career game against the Braves.
The Braves are 7-3 in their last 10 during game 3 of a series, 1-4 in their last 5 road games and 1-5 in their last 6 vs. National League West. The Diamondbacks are 5-3 in their last 8 home games, 4-10 in their last 14 Saturday games and 3-8 in their last 11 during game 3 of a series. The Braves are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings and the over is 15-5-2 in the last 22 meetings in Arizona. The over is 5-2 in Diamondbacks last 7 overall. The over is 5-2-1 in Braves last 8 overall.
The Arizona Diamondbacks hold little to no value to me as long as the offense continues to come up small, and they've done nothing this week but score three or less runs. Kelly is coming off his worst start of the season where he allowed seven runs in four innings against Tampa Bay, and he's allowing a .268 batting average on the season. The Atlanta Braves have been disappointing up to this point, but the offense is still loaded with talent and it's only a matter of time before things turn around. Maybe yesterday was a start? Either way, I'll side with the Braves in this contest.