Milwaukee Brewers at Arizona Diamondbacks
|Date & Time||Thursday July 18, 2019, 9:40 PM (EDT)|
The Line: Milwaukee Brewers -115 / Arizona Diamondbacks -110 -- Over/Under: 9.5
The Milwaukee Brewers and Arizona Diamondbacks meet Thursday in MLB action at Chase Field.
The Milwaukee Brewers look for a win after splitting their last six games. The Brewers have scored 20 runs in their last three games and four or more runs in four of their last six games. The Milwaukee Brewers have won six of their last nine games when scoring four or more runs. Christian Yelich leads the Brewers with 109 hits and 73 RBI while Lorenzo Cain and Mike Moustakas have combined for 184 hits and 88 RBI. Zach Davies gets the ball, and he is 7-2 with a 2.89 ERA and 68 strikeouts this season. Davies is 2-1 with a 4.15 ERA and 11 strikeouts in his career against the Diamondbacks.
The Arizona Diamondbacks look for a win after winning three of their last five games. The Diamondbacks have scored 30 runs in their last three games and four or more runs in three of their last five games. The Arizona Diamondbacks have won six straight games when scoring four or more runs. Ketel Marte leads the Diamondbacks with 116 hits and 58 RBI while Eduardo Escobar and Adam Jones have combined for 197 hits and 119 RBI. Merrill Kelly gets the ball, and he is 7-9 with a 3.93 ERA and 86 strikeouts this season. This will be Kelly’s first career game against the Brewers.
The Brewers are 2-8 in their last 10 during game 1 of a series, 1-5 in their last 6 vs. National League West and 4-1 in Davies' last 5 starts with 4 days of rest. The Diamondbacks are 5-1 in their last 6 during game 1 of a series, 5-2 in their last 7 Thursday games and 1-4 in Kelly's last 5 starts. The Brewers are 4-0 in the last 4 meetings and the over is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings in Arizona. The under is 8-3 in Kelly's last 11 starts overall. The under is 20-7-2 in Davies' last 29 starts overall.
Davies has allowed one earned run in his last 16.1 innings, and he has a 2.75 ERA with 42 strikeouts in 55.2 innings on the road this season. Kelly has allowed just 16 earned runs in his last 51.1 innings and has a 3.04 ERA at home where he's averaging nearly a strikeout per inning. These are two pitchers in really good form right now, but I give the Milwaukee Brewers the slight edge based on Davies being absolutely dominant in his last three starts. A Brewers offense that also has six players with double-digit homers should have a lot of success in Chase Field.