Atlanta Braves vs. Colorado Rockies - 4/28/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Colorado Rockies at Atlanta Braves
Sunday, April 28, 2019 at 12:20 PM (SunTrust Park)
Atlanta Braves -161 / Colorado Rockies +140 -- O/U: 9
The Colorado Rockies and the Atlanta Braves meet in the finale of their three game set from SunTrust Park in MLB action on Sunday afternoon.
The Colorado Rockies will look to complete the sweep after picking up a 9-5 win in game two on Saturday. Trevor Story led the Rockies with a home run and three RBIs while Charlie Blackmon had a double and two RBIs. Daniel Murphy and Nolan Arenado each had a solo home run with Arenado adding a double as well while Ryan McMahon and Tony Wolters each had an RBI to round out Colorado’s scoring in the win. David Dahl went 2 for 4 with a double and Raimel Tapia had a two-bagger of his own to round out Colorado’s offense in the victory. Jon Gray allowed all five runs on eight hits while striking out four over 4.2 innings of work, not factoring in the decision. Bryan Shaw got the win to improve to 1-0 this season. Tyler Anderson will start game three and is 0-2 with a 12.00 ERA and 9 strikeouts this season. This will be Anderson’s second career start against Atlanta.
The Atlanta Braves will look to avoid the sweep and salvage a win after dropping game two on Saturday. Ronald Acuna Jr. led the Braves with two RBIs, going 2 for 4 with a double while Freddie Freeman and Ender Inciarte each had a solo home run. Nick Markakis went 2 for 4 with a double and an RBI to round out Atlanta’s scoring in the loss while Johan Camargo went 2 for 5 and Ozzie Albies had a double as well in the losing effort. Mike Foltynewicz allowed four runs on six hits while striking out five over six innings of work, not factoring in the decision. A.J. Minter took the loss, falling to 0-3 on the year. Kevin Gausman will start game three and is 1-2 with a 3.96 ERA and 28 strikeouts this season. This will be Gausman’s first career start against Colorado.
Colorado is 0-7 in Anderson’s last 7 road starts and 7-20 in Anderson’s last 27 starts while the under is 22-7-3 in their last 32 road games. Atlanta is 1-4 in Gausman’s last 5 starts and 22-8 in their last 30 Sunday games while the over is 3-0-1 in their last 4 games against a left-handed starter. Colorado is 24-9 in the last 33 meetings between these two teams and 7-0 in the last 7 meetings between the two teams in Atlanta.
We’ve cashed in twice with the Rockies at either plus or even money, so taking Colorado for the sweep is tempting. However, Anderson has been brutal this season, allowing 16 runs in just 12 innings of work and numbers like those don’t inspire a world of confidence against an Atlanta team that’s due to break out offensively after being held in check over the first two games of the set. Gausman, despite coming off of his worst start so far this season, is simply the more trustworthy of the two starters here, so I’ll side with Atlanta to salvage a win in the finale here.