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Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers - 8/16/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Los Angeles Dodgers at Atlanta Braves
Date & Time Friday August 16, 2019, 7:20 PM (EDT)
Location
SunTrust Park
Atlanta, GA
The Line
Atlanta Braves -110 / Los Angeles Dodgers +103
TV Channel
FS-South
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Jayne Kamin-Oncea-USA TODAY Sports

The Los Angeles Dodgers and the Atlanta Braves meet in game one of a three game set in MLB action from SunTrust Park on Friday night.

The Los Angeles Dodgers will look to rebound after dropping Thursday’s series finale against Miami, failing to complete the sweep after a 13-7 loss. Cody Bellinger had a home run and three RBIs while Max Muncy had a homer and two RBIs. Corey Seager and Kyle Garlick each had a solo home run to round out the Dodgers’ offense as a team in the loss while Will Smith, Edwin Rios and A.J. Pollock each had a base hit as well in the defeat. Walker Buehler took the loss, falling to 10-3 on the year after allowing five runs on five hits while walking three and striking out six over four innings of work. Kenta Maeda will start game one and is 8-8 with a 4.12 ERA and 128 strikeouts this season. In his career, Maeda is 2-0 with a 0.68 ERA and 11 strikeouts against Atlanta.

The Atlanta Braves will look to bounce back after failing to sweep the Mets, dropping Thursday’s series finale by a final score of 10-8. Josh Donaldson had a pair of homs runs and three RBIs while Ronald Acuna Jr. and Freddie Freeman each had a home run and two RBIs with Freeman belting a pair of solo bombs. Matt Joyce added a solo home run to round out Atlanta’s scoring as a team in the loss while Ozzie Albies, Brian McCann, Ender Inciarte, Johan Camargo and Rafael Ortega each had a base hit as well in the defeat. Julio Teheran allowed six runs on eight hits while giving up three walks over just 1.1 innings of work to fall to 7-8 on the year. Mike Soroka will start game one and is 10-2 with a 2.32 ERA and 103 strikeouts this season. This will be Soroka’s first career start against the Dodgers.

Los Angeles is 3-8 in Maeda’s last 11 road starts and 53-25 in their last 78 series opening matchups while the over is 4-0 in their last 4 games against the NL East. Atlanta is 6-1 in Soroka’s last 7 home starts and 5-0 in their last 5 games against the NL West while the over is 5-1-2 in their last 8 games overall. Los Angeles is 36-17 in the last 53 meetings between these two teams and 8-3 in the last 11 meetings between these two teams in Atlanta.

This is going to be one heck of a series and a potential playoff preview between the top two teams in the NL right now. With that said, I think that 90% of the time if you told me that I’d ge the team with the best record in baseball at plus money I’d take it, especially with Maeda’s numbers in a small sample size against Atlanta. However, I think it speaks volumes that the Dodgers are underdogs here. Maeda hasn’t been good on the road this year, going 2-5 and watching his ERA nearly double on the road, currently sitting at 5.66 compared to a 2.84 ERA at Dodger Stadium this season. Soroka has been a much better pitcher on the road and has an ERA over four at home this season, but he’s lost just once in his last 20 starts, going all the way back to late-April. Like it or not, that’s just an insane run to have been competitive in for so long. I just think that Atlanta also has some momentum after nearly completing the comeback against the Mets on Thursday, so I’ll side with the Braves to draw first blood in what should be a solid series to watch.

Pick:
Atlanta Braves -110

Chris has been a sports fan from when he was old enough to pick up a basketball and was a standout offensive lineman throughout high school and college. Chris uses that same instinct, determination and drive to analyze trends and statistics to find and produce winners on a consistent basis. Chris has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2016 and covers a wide array of sports from college and pro football, college basketball, hockey and baseball.

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