Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins - 7/5/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Miami Marlins at Atlanta Braves
Friday, July 5, 2019 at 6:20 PM (SunTrust Park)
Atlanta Braves: -1.5 (-105) / Miami Marlins: 1.5 (-115) Click Here for the Latest Odds
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The Miami Marlins and the Atlanta Braves meet in game one of a three game NL East division set in MLB action from SunTrust Park on Friday.
The Miami Marlins will be out to snap a four game losing streak after being swept by the Washington Nationals following a 5-2 loss in the series finale on Thursday. Miguel Rojas had a home run and both of Miami’s RBIs in the losing effort. Starlin Castro went 3 for 5 with a double while Jorge Alfaro went 2 for 5 with a double of his own. Cesar Puello, Garrett Cooper, Harold Ramirez and JT Riddle each had base hits as well in the losing effort. Elieser Hernandez gave up three runs on five hits while striking out six over 4.1 innings of work, taking the loss to fall to 1-3 this season. Jordan Yamamoto will start game one and is 3-0 with a 2.35 ERA and 23 strikeouts this season. This will be Yamamoto’s first career start against Atlanta.
The Atlanta Braves will look to build some momentum after winning their series with the Philadelphia Phillies following a 12-6 win in the rubber match on Thursday. Dansby Swanson and Ozzie Albies each had a home run and three RBIs with Swanson hitting a pair of home runs as well as a double in his 3 for 5 night at the plate. Freddie Freeman had a solo home run and a double while Josh Donaldson added a solo home run and Nick Markakis went 3 for 4 with three doubles and an RBI. Ronald Acuna Jr. added a base hit of his own to finish off Atlanta’s offense as a team in the victory. Mike Soroka allowed four runs on nine hits while striking out six over 4.2 innings of work, not factoring in the decision. A.J. Minter got the win in relief to improve to 3-4 on the year. Julio Teheran will start game one and is 5-6 with a 3.99 ERA and 85 strikeouts this season. In his career, Teheran is 8-6 with a 3.89 ERA and 109 strikeouts against Miami.
Miami is 4-0 in Yamamoto’s last 4 starts and 17-40 in their last 57 division games while the under is 4-0-1 in their last 5 series opening matchups. Atlanta is 8-3 in Teheran’s last 11 starts and 18-7 in their last 25 games overall while the over is 15-5-1 in their last 21 home games. Atlanta is 4-1 in Teheran’s last 5 starts against Miami while the Marlins are 16-35 in the last 51 meetings between these two teams and 4-17 in the last 21 meetings between these two teams in Atlanta.
The decent sized plus money with Miami is tempting considering how well Yamamoto has pitched to start his career. However, Yamamoto gave up four runs in four innings in the worst start of his young career so far and Miami is back in one of those slumps where the losses pile up faster than the wins, and the Fish barely put up any offense in doing so, as Miami scored just five runs in three games against Washington, with two runs or less in each. Teheran has been up and down lately, but he’s had some recent success against Miami and the Braves are simply the better team here. I’ll side with Atlanta for the series opening win and to cut down some of the juice, I’ll back the Braves on the RL.