Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins - 7/6/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Miami Marlins at Atlanta Braves
Saturday, July 6, 2019 at 3:10 PM (SunTrust Park)
Atlanta Braves -185 / Miami Marlins +165
TV: FS-Florida, FS-South
The Miami Marlins and the Atlanta Braves meet in game two of their three game NL East division set from SunTrust Park on Saturday.
The Miami Marlins will be out to snap a five game losing streak after a series opening 1-0 loss to Atlanta on Friday. Jorge Alfaro and Starlin Castro each had a double with Alfaro going 2 for 4 at the dish. Neil Walker had a pair of hits as well while Curtis Granderson and Jordan Yamamoto each had a base hit to finish off Miami’s offense as a team in the defeat. Yamamoto threw another gem, throwing six shutout innings, allowing just two hits while striking out seven, not factoring in the decision. Jose Quijada ended up with the loss, falling to 0-3 on the year. Caleb Smith will start game two and is 3-4 with a 3.41 ERA and 82 strikeouts this season. In his career, Smith is 0-1 with a 3.97 ERA and 12 strikeouts against Atlanta.
The Atlanta Braves will look to pick up some steam after edging out a win in game one on Friday. Brian McCann plated the lone run for either side in the game going 2 for 4 at the dish, while Freddie Freeman had a double and Ronald Acuna Jr. and Austin Riley each had base hits as well in the win as Atlanta cranked out just five hits as a team. Julio Teheran threw six shutout innings, giving up just five hits while striking out six, not factoring in the decision. Luke Jackson picked up the win in relief to improve to 4-2 on the year. Max Fried will start game two and is 9-3 with a 4.04 ERA and 90 strikeouts this season. In his career, Fried is 0-0 with a 5.14 ERA and 17 strikeouts against Miami.
Miami is 0-5 in their last 5 games overall and 1-5 in Smith’s last 6 starts while the under is 6-1 in their last 7 road games. Atlanta is 5-1 in Fried’s last 6 starts and 13-3 in their last 16 home games while the under is 8-3-1 in their last 12 games overall. Miami is 16-36 in the last 51 meetings between these two teams and 4-18 in the last 22 meetings between these two teams in Atlanta.
Fried has had his ups and downs recently, so the price tag may feel a bit steep. However, the Braves are the better and more dependable team between the two, and Fried is the better option on the mound given that Smith hasn’t started for the Marlins in a month coming into this start. Atlanta is one of the hottest teams in the majors over the last month and will want to go into the all-star break with some added momentum, so I’ll side with the Braves for another victory here.