Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins - 8/20/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Steve Mitchell-USA TODAY Sports
Miami Marlins at Atlanta Braves
Tuesday, August 20, 2019 at 6:20 PM (SunTrust Park)
Atlanta Braves: -1.5 (-155) / Miami Marlins: 1.5 (+135)
TV: FS-Florida, FS-Southeast
The Miami Marlins and the Atlanta Braves meet in game one of a three game NL East division set in MLB action from SunTrust Park on Tuesday night.
The Miami Marlins could use a win after dropping three straight and six of their last seven games, including being swept by the Colorado Rockies over this past weekend following a 7-6 loss in Sunday’s series finale. Harold Ramirez went 3 for 4 with a double and two RBIs while Starlin Castro and Brian Anderson each added a double and an RBI. Isan Diaz and Neil Walker each contributed an RBI fo finish off Miami’s scoring as a team in the loss while Garrett Cooper went 2 for 5 with a double and Lewis Brinson added a two-bagger as well in the defeat. Jordan Yamamoto allowed two runs on four hits while striking out nine over 5.2 innings of work, not factoring in the decision. Jeff Brigham took the loss in relief to fall to 2-2 on the year. Elieser Hernandez will start game one and is 2-5 with a 5.40 ERA and 55 strikeouts this season. In his career, Hernandez is 1-1 with a 2.00 ERA and 15 strikeouts against Atlanta.
The Atlanta Braves will look to keep their momentum going after winning their series with the Los Angeles Dodgers, including a 5-3 win in Sunday’s series finale. Rafael Ortega had a home run and four RBIs while Adeiny Hechavarria went 2 for 3 with a double and an RBI to finish off Atlanta’s scoring as a team in the win. Ozzie Ablies and Max Fried each had a double while Matt Joyce went 2 for 4 at the dish. Ronald Acuna Jr. and Josh Donaldson each chipped in base hits as well in the victory for Atlanta. Fried gave up three runs on eight hits while striking out eight over five innings of work. Anthony Swarzak got the win to improve to 1-1 while Mark Melancon closed out the 9th for his 4th save of the season. Dallas Keuchel will start game one and is 3-5 with a 4.39 ERA and 53 strikeouts this season. In his career, Keuchel is 2-2 with a 4.70 ERA and 19 strikeouts against Miami.
Miami is 1-5 in Hernandez’s last 6 road starts and 3-13 in their last 16 games overall while the over is 10-1-2 in their last 13 games against a team with a winning record. Atlanta is 5-2 in their last 7 games overall and 21-10 in their last 31 games against a team with a winning percentage below .400 while the over is 4-1-2 in their last 7 division games. Miami is 16-37 in the last 53 meetings between these two teams and 7-19 in the last 26 meetings between these two teams in Atlanta.
Miami and plus money is tempting given the fact that Hernandez threw six shutout innings against Atlanta just a couple of starts ago, while Miami torched Keuchel for eight runs in less than four innings two starts ago. However, Miami is back in one of those funks where runs are hard to come by and when they aren’t, the Fish can’t keep runs off of the board on the other side. Keuchel has pitched much better at home where he has a 2.43 ERA compared to a 6.40 ERA on the road this season. Keuchel also gave up just two runs in seven plus innings in his last start against the Marlins at home and the Braves have to be feeling some confidence after taking two of three from the Dodgers. I’ll side with Atlanta here and to get rid of some of the juice I’ll back the Braves on the RL.