Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers - 5/17/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Milwaukee Brewers at Atlanta Braves
Friday, May 17, 2019 at 6:20 PM (SunTrust Park)
The Line: Milwaukee Brewers +115 / Atlanta Braves -135 -- Over/Under: 9
TV: FSWI, FSSO
The Milwaukee Brewers and Atlanta Braves meet Friday in MLB action at SunTrust Park.
The Milwaukee Brewers look to stay hot after winning 10 of their last 13 games. The Brewers have scored 22 runs in their last three games and four or more runs in nine of their last 12 games. The Milwaukee Brewers have won 10 of their last 11 games when scoring more than one run. Christian Yelich leads the Brewers with 50 hits and 40 RBI while Lorenzo Cain and Mike Moustakas have combined for 89 hits and 47 RBI. Jhoulys Chacin gets the ball, and he is 3-4 with a 4.57 ERA and 33 strikeouts this season. Chacin is 2-4 with a 3.69 ERA and 31 strikeouts in his career against the Braves.
The Atlanta Braves look to stay hot after winning five of their last six games. The Braves have scored 17 runs in their last three games and four or more runs in five of their last eight games. The Atlanta Braves have won eight of their last nine games when scoring four or more runs. Freddie Freeman leads the Braves with 52 hits and 25 RBI while Ozzie Albies and Nick Markakis have combined for 93 hits and 45 RBI. Max Fried gets the ball, and he is 5-2 with a 3.25 ERA and 41 strikeouts this season. This will be Fried’s second career game against the Brewers.
The Brewers are 41-16 in their last 57 during game 1 of a series, 36-17 in their last 53 vs. National League East and 2-5 in Chacin's last 7 starts. The Braves are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record, 2-8 in their last 10 during game 1 of a series and 4-1 in their last 5 overall. The Brewers are 9-19 in the last 28 meetings in Atlanta and the over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings. The over is 7-2-2 in Braves last 11 during game 1 of a series. The under is 17-5 in Chacin's last 22 starts overall.
Chacin has been manageable this season, which includes allowing three earned runs in his last 17 innings, but history has shown a stinker isn't too far behind, so I'd be cautious with him. Fried has been solid over the course of the season, especially at home where he has a 2.59 ERA and a .209 allowed batting average in 24.1 innings. Overall, I'm not looking to bet against the Atlanta Braves in their current form, as the offense has woken up finally and they have a chance to continue chipping away in the standings before a seven-game road trip. I like the Braves.