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Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers - 5/18/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Milwaukee Brewers at Atlanta Braves
Date & Time Saturday May 18, 2019, 7:15 PM (EDT)
SunTrust Park
Atlanta, GA
The Line
Atlanta Braves -119 / Milwaukee Brewers +110 -- O/U: 9.5
TV Channel
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The Milwaukee Brewers and the Atlanta Braves meet in game two of their three game set in MLB action from SunTrust Park on Saturday.

The Milwaukee Brewers will look to rebound after suffering a 12-8 loss to the Braves in game one on Friday. Ryan Braun had three RBIs while Jacob Nottingham had two RBIs in a pinch-hit role and Orlando Arcia added an RBI of his own in the losing effort for the Brew Crew. Keston Hiura went 2 for 4 while Mike Moustakas doubled and Lorenzo Cain added a base hit as well in the loss for Milwaukee. Jhoulys Chacin took the loss, falling to 3-5 on the year after allowing three runs on eight hits over five innings of work. Chase Anderson will start game two and is 2-0 with a 3.20 ERA and 22 strikeouts this season. In his career, Anderson is 2-0 with a 4.84 ERA and 17 strikeouts against Atlanta.

The Atlanta Braves will look to keep their momentum going after their series opening win on Friday. Ronald Acuna Jr. and Dansby Swanson each had three RBIs with Swanson homering while Acuna Jr. went 3 for 4 with a double. Freddie Freeman and Tyler Flowers each had a home run and two RBIs while Josh Donaldson had a solo home run. Ozzie Albies went 3 for 3 with a double and an RBI to round out Atlanta’s scoring as a team in the win while Austin Riley had two hits, Max Fried had a double and Nick Markakis added a base hit of his own in the winning effort. Fried got the win on the mound to improve to 6-2 on the year after tossing six shutout innings, allowing just two hits while striking out five. Luke Jackson closed out the 9th for his 6th save of the season. Kevin Gausman will start game two and is 2-3 with a 4.50 ERA and 46 strikeouts this season. This will be Gausman’s second career start against Milwaukee.

Milwaukee is 10-4 in their last 14 games overall and 1-4 in Anderson’s last 5 starts against the NL East while the over is 4-1 in Anderson’s last 5 road starts. Atlanta is 6-1 in their last 7 games overall and 8-3 in their last 11 games against the NL Central while the over is 6-0 in their last 6 Saturday games. The over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings between these two teams.

I get Atlanta being favored at home, especially since the bats woke up in game two. However, I’m not sold on Gausman right now, as he has allowed five or more runs in three of his last five starts. On the other hand, I’m not comfortable backing Anderson off of the IL in his first start in over three weeks. Instead, I’ll side with the over as I think the pitching matchup combined with both offenses finding their groove in the opener sets us up for a game that could and should hit double digits on Saturday.

Over 9.5

Chris has been a sports fan from when he was old enough to pick up a basketball and was a standout offensive lineman throughout high school and college. Chris uses that same instinct, determination and drive to analyze trends and statistics to find and produce winners on a consistent basis. Chris has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2016 and covers a wide array of sports from college and pro football, college basketball, hockey and baseball.

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