Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets - 4/11/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction
New York Mets at Atlanta Braves
Thursday, April 11, 2019 at 6:20 PM (SunTrust Park)
Atlanta Braves -120 / New York Mets +100
TV: FS-Southeast, SNY
The New York Mets and the Atlanta Braves meet in game one of a four game NL East division set in MLB action from SunTrust Park on Thursday night.
The New York Mets will look to build on a series split with Minnesota after a 9-6 win over the Twins on Wednesday. Michael Conforto had three RBIs and Wilson Ramos had two RBIs while Brandon Nimmo, Pete Alonso, Robinson Cano and Jeff McNeil each had RBIs as well. The offensive output was strange because New York plated nine runs with just five hits, none of which went for extra bases as the first four Mets runs were plated via a HBP or a walk. Noah Syndergaard picked up the win to improve to 1-1 after allowing four runs on five hits while striking out seven over seven innings of work. Steven Matz will start game one and is 0-0 with a 0.87 ERA and 11 strikeouts this season. In his career, Matz is 4-0 with a 2.75 ERA and 29 strikeouts against Atlanta.
The Atlanta Braves come into this one rested after having their series finale against Colorado postponed due to inclement weather. Prior to that, the Braves had won 3 straight and 7 of their last 8 games following a 7-1 win over the Rockies on Tuesday. Dansby Swanson led the Braves with a home run and three RBIs while Ronald Acuna Jr. had a solo home run and Charlie Culberson, Freddie Freeman and Nick Markakis each had an RBI with Culberson adding a double. Ozzie Albies went 2 for 4 with a double and Josh Donaldson added a two-bagger of his own while Tyler Flowers added a base hit as well in the winning effort. Max Fried got the win to improve to 2-0 after allowing just an unearned run on five hits while striking out four over six innings of work. Kevin Gausman will start game one and is 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA and 7 strikeouts this season. In his career, Gausman is 0-2 with a 4.50 ERA and 10 strikeouts against the Mets.
New York is 6-1 in their last 7 road games and 4-0 in Matz’s last 4 starts while the over is 9-1 in their last 10 games overall. Atlanta is 6-0 in Gausman’s last 6 home starts and 7-1 in their last 8 games overall while the under is 4-0 in their last 4 division games. New York is 5-2 in Matz’s last 7 starts against Atlanta and 4-1 in Matz’s last 5 road starts against Atlanta.
The plus money is tempting considering Matz’s success against the Braves in his career, and the postponement against Colorado may slow down some of the momentum that the Braves had heading into this series. However, Gausman has been rolling at home since joining the Braves, and while both teams had to travel, the Braves still got in a rest day while the Mets finished up late against Minnesota and had to travel all the way to Atlanta for this one. I just think that you have to keep riding the hot hand in Atlanta until it stops paying off, so I’ll lay the juice with the Braves here.