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Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies - 6/14/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves
Date & Time Friday June 14, 2019, 7:20 PM (EDT)
Location
SunTrust Park
Atlanta, GA
The Line
Atlanta Braves -135 / Philadelphia Phillies +115
TV Channel
FS-South
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The Philadelphia Phillies and the Atlanta Braves meet in game one of a three game NL East division set in MLB action from SunTrust Park on Friday.

The Philadelphia Phillies will look to rebound after losing the rubber match of their series with Arizona on Wednesday by a final score of 2-0. Nick Williams went 2 for 3 with a double while J.T. Realmuto added a base hit of his own as Philadelphia mustered up just three hits as a team in the losing effort. The rest of the Phillies ended up going 0 for 24 with 5 strikeouts in the defeat. Zach Eflin took the loss, falling to 6-6 on the year after allowing two runs on five hits while striking out nine over eight innings of work. Nick Pivetta will start game one and is 4-1 with a 4.93 ERA and 37 strikeouts this season. In his career, Pivetta is 4-1 with a 3.21 ERA and 39 strikeouts against Atlanta.

The Atlanta Braves will look to build on their current seven game winning streak after sweeping the Pittsburgh Pirates to start the week following a 6-5 win in the series finale on Thursday. Freddie Freeman and Ozzie Albies each had two hits and two RBIs with Freeman hitting a triple while Albies added a double. Josh Donaldson and Matt Joyce each had an RBI to finish off Atlanta’s scoring while Ronald Acuna Jr. went 2 for 5 with a double. Nick Markakis and Julio Teheran each had base hits as well in the winning effort for the Braves. Teheran got the win on the mound after giving up two runs, one earned, on three hits over six innings of work. Luke Jackson closed out the 9th for his 10th save of the season. Max Fried will start the opener and is 7-3 with a 3.75 ERA and 66 strikeouts this season. This will be Fried’s first career start against Philadelphia.

Philadelphia is 5-2 in Pivetta’s last 7 starts and 5-1 in their last 6 division games while the under is 6-1-1 in their last 8 Friday games. Atlanta is 8-2 in their last 10 division games and 5-1 in Fried’s last 6 starts while the over is 6-0-1 in their last 7 home games against a right-handed starter. Philadelphia is 7-2 in Pivetta’s last 9 starts against Atlanta, 4-1 in Pivetta’s last 5 road starts against the Braves and 5-0 in the last 5 meetings between these two teams overall.

I understand Atlanta being favored at home, being on this nice winning streak and coming into this game with Fried on the mound, who has been one of their better pitchers this season. However, Fried has allowed three or more runs in six of his last nine starts and if we are being honest, I need to see more than a pair of sweeps over Miami and Pittsburgh and Philadelphia will be a good barometer to see where the Braves are at at this point in the season. The Phillies have had a lot of recent success against the Braves, especially with Pivetta on the bump, so I think the Phillies and the plus money are worth a shot on Friday.

Pick:
Philadelphia Phillies +115

Chris has been a sports fan from when he was old enough to pick up a basketball and was a standout offensive lineman throughout high school and college. Chris uses that same instinct, determination and drive to analyze trends and statistics to find and produce winners on a consistent basis. Chris has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2016 and covers a wide array of sports from college and pro football, college basketball, hockey and baseball.

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