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Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies - 6/15/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves
Date & Time Saturday June 15, 2019, 7:20 PM (EDT)
Location
SunTrust Park
Atlanta, GA
The Line
Atlanta Braves -110 / Philadelphia Phillies -110
TV Channel
FS-South
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The Philadelphia Phillies and the Atlanta Braves meet in game two of their three game NL East division set in MLB action from SunTrust Park on Saturday.

The Philadelphia Phillies will look to bounce back after losing four of their last five games following a 9-8 loss in game one of the set on Friday. Bryce Harper and Rhys Hoskins each had a home run and two RBIs while Scott Kingery went 3 for 4 with a solo home run and a double. Sean Rodriguez and Cesar Hernandez each had RBIs as well while Jean Segura, J.T. Realmuto and Jay Bruce each had base hits as well in the losing effort for the Phillies. Nick Pivetta gave up four runs on eight hits while striking out six over 6.2 innings of work, not factoring in the decision, while Hector Neris took the loss, falling to 1-3 on the year. Aaron Nola will start game two and is 6-1 with a 4.58 ERA and 86 strikeouts this season. In his career, Nola is 8-3 with a 2.05 ERA and 23 strikeouts against Atlanta.

The Atlanta Braves will look to build on the winning streak that currently sits at eight games following their victory in Friday’s opener. Brian McCann went 3 for 5 with a home run and three RBIs while Freddie Freeman had a home run and two RBIs. Josh Donaldson had a solo home run while Austin Riley and Ozzie Albies each had two hits with an RBI with Riley chipping in a double as well. Charlie Culberson had an RBI and a triple to round out Atlanta’s scoring as a team in the win while Ronald Acuna Jr. went 2 for 5 with a double and Dansby Swanson had a base knock as well in the victory. Max Fried allowed five runs on seven hits while striking out four over 4.2 innings of work, not factoring in the decision, while Jerry Blevins got the win to improve to 1-0 on the year. Sean Newcomb will start game two and is 1-0 with a 2.59 ERA and 26 strikeouts this season. In his career, Newcomb is 1-1 with a 2.65 ERA and 16 strikeouts against Philadelphia.

Philadelphia is 0-4 in Nola’s last 4 division starts and 2-6 in their last 8 road games while the over is 8-3-1 in their last 12 road games. Atlanta is 8-0 in their last 8 games overall and 7-0 in their last 7 home games while the over is 13-3-1 in their last 17 games overall. Philadelphia is 0-6 in the last 6 meetings between these two teams in Atlanta.

This line has me scratching my head a little bit. Yes, Newcomb has been used sparingly in a reliever role lately, and Nola has some strong numbers in his career against Atlanta. However, the Braves are an underdog at home while riding an eight game winning streak, and if we are being honest, I don’t think Nola has pitched as well as his record would indicate. Nola has allowed nine runs in his last two starts spanning 12 innings of work, and while he may stifle the Braves again, I can’t pass on Atlanta at this price with the way the Braves have been playing over the last week or so.

Pick:
Atlanta Braves -110

Chris has been a sports fan from when he was old enough to pick up a basketball and was a standout offensive lineman throughout high school and college. Chris uses that same instinct, determination and drive to analyze trends and statistics to find and produce winners on a consistent basis. Chris has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2016 and covers a wide array of sports from college and pro football, college basketball, hockey and baseball.

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