Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies - 7/3/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves
Wednesday, July 3, 2019 at 6:20 PM (SunTrust Park)
Over: 10 (-140) / Under: 10 (+100)
The Philadelphia Phillies and the Atlanta Braves meet in game two of their three game NL East division set from SunTrust Park on Wednesday.
The Philadelphia Phillies will look to keep the momentum going after earning a 2-0 win over the Braves in the series opener on Tuesday. Jay Bruce had a double and two RBIs as the lone scoring in the game while J.T. Realmuto also had a double and Jean Segura went 2 for 4 at the dish in the win. Scott Kingery, Rhys Hoskins and Cesar Hernandez each had a base hit as the Phillies cranked out seven hits as a team in the win. Aaron Nola got the win, throwing eight shutout innings, allowing just four hits while striking out eight to improve to 7-2 on the year. Hector Neris struck out the side in the 9th for his 17th save of the season. Nick Pivetta will start game two and is 4-2 with a 5.62 ERA and 48 strikeouts this season. In his career, Pivetta is 4-1 with a 3.48 ERA and 45 strikeouts against Atlanta.
The Atlanta Braves will look to bounce back and even up the series with a win after being set down in game one on Tuesday. Nick Markakis went 2 for 4 with a double while Dansby Swanson and Brian McCann each had a base knock as well as the Braves mustered up just four hits as a team in the loss. Dallas Keuchel took the loss, falling to 1-2 on the year after giving up two runs on five hits over seven innings of work. Bryse Wilson will start game two and is 0-0 with an 8.31 ERA and 10 strikeouts this season. This will be Wilson’s second career start against Philadelphia.
Philadelphia is 0-7 in Pivetta’s last 7 road starts and 2-6 in their last 8 road games while the over is 7-1 in Pivetta’s last 8 division starts. Atlanta is 20-9 in their last 29 games overall and 10-3 in their last 13 home games while the over is 14-7-2 in their last 23 division games. The over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings between these two teams.
The Phillies kind of snuck one in on me by bumping Pivetta back a day and inserting Nola, and it kind of backfired. On Wednesday though, I expect the offenses to open up a bit. Pivetta has allowed 14 runs in his last 17.2 innings of work while Wilson got tagged for six runs, four earned, in his last start lasting just 4.1 innings. Wilson also gave up four runs to the Phillies in his first start this season. I think we see some offensive displays on Wednesday, so I’ll side with the over in this one.