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Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego Padres - 5/1/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
San Diego Padres at Atlanta Braves
Date & Time Wednesday May 1, 2019, 7:20 PM (EDT)
Location
SunTrust Park
Atlanta, GA
The Line
Atlanta Braves -155 / San Diego Padres +135
TV Channel
FS-San Diego, FS-Southeast
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The San Diego Padres and the Atlanta Braves meet in game three of their four game set in MLB action from SunTrust Park on Wednesday night.

The San Diego Padres will look to take the series lead after evening the set up at one win apiece following a 4-3 win in game two on Tuesday. Franmil Reyes led the charge by going 3 for 4 with a pair of home runs and three RBIs while Eric Hosmer went 2 for 4 with a solo home run and Manny Machado added a base hit to round out San Diego’s offense as a team in the winning effort. Chris Paddack got the win to improve to 2-1 on the year after allowing two runs on four hits while striking out five over six innings of work. Kirby Yates closed out the 9th for his 14th save of the season. Matt Strahm will start game three and is 0-2 with a 3.04 ERA and 21 strikeouts this season. In his career, Strahm is 0-0 with a 1.50 ERA and 7 strikeouts against Atlanta.

The Atlanta Braves will look to bounce back after dropping game two on Tuesday. Matt Joyce led the charge by going 2 for 4 with two RBIs while Ronald Acuna Jr. had an RBI of his own to cap off Atlanta’s scoring in the loss. Dansby Swanson had a double and Brian McCann went 2 for 3 while Johan Camargo and Nick Markakis each had a base hit as well in the losing effort. Julio Teheran took the loss on the mound after allowing four runs on five hits while striking out eight over seven innings of work. Max Fried will start game three and is 3-1 with a 2.30 ERA and 26 strikeouts this season. This will be Fried’s first career start against San Diego.

San Diego is 5-2 in their last 7 games overall and 7-1 in their last 8 games against a left-handed starter while the under is 5-0-2 in Strahm’s last 7 road starts. Atlanta is 2-5 in their last 7 home games and 5-1 in their last 6 games against a team with a winning record while the over is 5-1 in Fried’s last 6 starts overall. San Diego is 1-4 in the last 5 meetings between these two teams and 6-20 in the last 26 meetings between the two teams in Atlanta.

The plus money is definitely worth a look as Strahm has pitched decently as of late and has helped keep the Padres in a lot of his games. However, you can argue that the Braves are the better team here and Fried has been Atlanta’s best starter so far this season, despite getting touched up for four runs in 5.1 innings in his last start. I’m not a fan of the heavy line, but I think Atlanta can get back behind Fried to get another win here so I’ll lay the juice with Atlanta in this spot.

Pick:
Atlanta Braves -155

Chris has been a sports fan from when he was old enough to pick up a basketball and was a standout offensive lineman throughout high school and college. Chris uses that same instinct, determination and drive to analyze trends and statistics to find and produce winners on a consistent basis. Chris has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2016 and covers a wide array of sports from college and pro football, college basketball, hockey and baseball.

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