San Diego Padres (33-38) at Atlanta Braves (40-28)
|Date & Time||Saturday June 16, 2018, 5:10 PM (EDT)|
The Line: Atlanta Braves -185 / San Diego Padres +174 --- Over/Under: 8.5
Coming up on Saturday from SunTrust Park, the San Diego Padres and the Atlanta Braves will be picking up their MLB series once again.
In the Thursday opener, the Braves managed a 4-2 win. On Friday, the Padres scored five times in the seventh on the way to a 9-3 victory.
For Saturday’s installment, the Padres will be rolling with RHP Jordan Lyles as the starter. Over his 59.2 innings and 2-3 mark this year, Lyles has a 4.83 ERA with 50 Ks and 18 BBs.
Coming into game two, the Padres’ top two guys were Jose Pirela and Eric Hosmer, each with 74 hits on the year. On Friday, Pirela hit a two-run homer while Hosmer had a hit and a run.
As for the Braves, they’re going with lefty Sean Newcomb on Saturday. Across his 74.0 innings and 7-2 record this season, Newcomb has a 2.92 ERA with 74 Ks and 35 BBs.
Freddie Freeman led the Braves entering game two on 89 hits, 45 runs, 14 homers and 48 RBI. On Friday, Freeman ripped a solo homer.
The Padres are 10-1 in their last 11 during game three of a series and 20-8 in their last 28 Saturday games. San Diego is also 2-5 in their last seven games versus a left-handed starter and the over is 4-0 in their last four Saturday games.
Meanwhile, the Braves are 14-5 in their last 19 in game three of a series and 4-0 in Newcomb’s last four starts with five days’ rest. Atlanta is also 7-2 in Newcomb’s last nine starts and 5-2 in his last seven home starts.
Lyles has been pretty shaky lately, with two earned runs in 7.0 innings against the Marlins, but a combined 17 earned in the other three of his last four starts. Newcomb dropped a loss against the Dodgers his last time up (five earned in 5.1 innings), but on the whole has been a pretty reliable guy this season. I can’t think of a whole lot of reasons to pick against the Braves here.