Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationals - 7/21/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Washington Nationals at Atlanta Braves
Sunday, July 21, 2019 at 6:05 PM (SunTrust Park)
Over: 11 (-120) / Under: 11 (+100)
The Washington Nationals and the Atlanta Braves meet in the finale of their four game NL East division set from SunTrust Park in MLB action on this week’s edition of Sunday Night Baseball. Matt Adams had a solo home run while Trea Turner and Adam Eaton each had a double and an RBI with Eaton going 3 for 5 while Turner had two hits. Anthony Rendon and Juan Soto each went 2 for 4 with an RBI to cap off Washington’s scoring as a team in the victory. Brian Dozier and Anibal Sanchez each had a base hit to sum up Washington’s offense in the win. Sanchez got the win to improve to 6-6 on the year after allowing three runs on six hits while walking three and striking out four over five innings of work. Sean Doolittle picked up his 21st save of the season, closing out the 9th. Joe Ross will start the finale and is 0-1 with an 11.05 ERA and 12 strikeouts this season. In his career, Ross is 1-2 with a 7.40 ERA and 17 strikeouts against Atlanta.
The Atlanta Braves will look to bounce back and salvage a series split after dropping game three on Saturday. Brian McCann went 3 for 4 with a home run and two RBIs while Freddie Freeman went 2 for 5 with an RBI to finish off Atlanta’s scoring as a team in the loss. Ronald Acuna Jr. went 2 for 4 while Nick Markakis added a base hit of his own to cap off Atlanta’s offense in the losing effort. Mike Soroka took the loss, falling to 10-2 on the year after giving up four runs on nine hits while striking out four over six innings of work. Kevin Gausman will start game four and is 2-5 with a 6.21 ERA and 64 strikeouts this season. In his career, Gausman is 4-2 with a 6.31 ERA and 18 strikeouts against Washington.
Washington is 12-5 in their last 17 road games and 18-5 in their last 23 division games while the under is 7-1 in their last 8 road games. Atlanta is 41-20 in their last 61 games overall and 15-5 in their last 20 home games while the over is 5-1-1 in their last 7 game four matchups. Washington is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings between these two teams in Atlanta.
I’d like to take Atlanta here at home, but Gausman hasn’t pitched in nearly a month and a half and has allowed 19 runs, 17 earned, in his last three starts spanning just 8.1 innings of work. Gausman’s also given up 26 runs, 25 earned in just 35.2 career innings against Washington. Ross hasn’t pitched since the end of June and even then, he allowed seven runs in his last two appearances, spanning just two innings of work. Ross has also had issues in his career against Atlanta, allowing 20 runs in 24.1 innings of work. Seems like a good spot for a high-scoring game, so I’ll side with the over.