Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox - 7/20/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Boston Red Sox at Baltimore Orioles
Saturday, July 20, 2019 at 6:05 PM (Oriole Park at Camden Yards)
The Line: Boston Red Sox -222 / Baltimore Orioles +180 -- Over/Under: 11.5
TV: MASN, NESN
The Boston Red Sox and Baltimore Orioles meet Saturday in MLB action at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
The Boston Red Sox look for a win after splitting their last six games. The Red Sox have scored 12 runs in their last three games and four or more runs in six of their last eight games. The Boston Red Sox have won four of their last six games when scoring four or more runs. Rafael Devers leads the Red Sox with 122 hits and 73 RBI while Xander Bogaerts and Mookie Betts have combined for 221 hits and 118 RBI. Rick Porcello gets the ball, and he is 7-7 with a 5.37 ERA and 83 strikeouts this season. Porcello is 6-12 with a 4.69 ERA and 102 strikeouts in his career against the Orioles.
The Baltimore Orioles look for a win after splitting their last six games. The Orioles have scored 21 runs in their last three games and four or more runs in four of their last seven games. The Baltimore Orioles have split their last four games when scoring four or more runs. Trey Mancini leads the Orioles with 99 hits and 43 RBI while Jonathan Villar and Hanser Alberto have combined for 185 hits and 68 RBI. Thomas Eshelman gets the ball, and he is 0-1 with a 5.06 ERA and seven strikeouts this season. This will be Eshelman’s first career game against the Red Sox.
The Red Sox are 3-7 in their last 10 Saturday games, 1-4 in their last 5 during game 2 of a series and 11-5 in Porcello's last 16 starts. The Orioles are 28-61 in their last 89 during game 2 of a series, 14-40 in their last 54 Saturday games and 13-41 in their last 54 games on grass. The Red Sox are 25-6 in the last 31 meetings in Baltimore, 36-16 in the last 52 meetings and 3-7 in Porcello's last 10 starts vs. Orioles. The under is 4-1 in Orioles last 5 home games. The over is 6-2 in Porcello's last 8 road starts.
Porcello has been awful these last two months, allowing 32 earned runs in his last 42.1 innings, and he has a 5.74 ERA and .297 allowed batting average on the road. In 123 at bats against current Orioles' hitters, Porcello is giving up a .268 batting average and nine homers. Eshelman has just 10.2 career big league innings under his belt and hasn't been great in that short sample size, but I'm not laying this price with Porcello on the hill. In terms of the big plus money and a pitcher who has been horrible for much of the season, I'd take a shot with the Baltimore Orioles in this spot.