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Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox - 7/21/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Boston Red Sox at Baltimore Orioles
Date & Time Sunday July 21, 2019, 1:05 PM (EDT)
Location
Camden Yards
Baltimore, MD
The Line
Over: 12.5 (-105) / Under: 12.5 (-115)
TV Channel
MASN, NESN
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The Boston Red Sox and the Baltimore Orioles meet in the rubber match of their three game AL East division set in MLB action from Camden Yards on Sunday.

The Boston Red Sox will look to keep the momentum going after evening up the series at one win apiece following a 17-6 win in game two on Saturday. Jackie Bradley Jr. had a pair of home runs and six RBIs while Mookie Betts went 3 for 6 with a home run, a double and three RBIS. Rafael Devers had a home run, a triple and two RBIs while J.D. Martinez and Christian Vazquez each had two hits and two RBIs with Martinez contributing a double. Sandy Leon added a solo home run while Xander Bogaerts added an RBI as well to cap off Boston’s scoring as a team in the win. Brock Holt added a double while Marco Hernandez added a base knock as well in the victory. Rick Porcello got the win to improve to 8-7 on the year after allowing six runs on 11 hits while striking out four over five innings of work. Andrew Cashner will start the finale against his former team and is 9-4 with a 4.09 ERA and 68 strikeouts this season. In his career, Cashner is 1-1 with a 2.14 ERA and 10 strikeouts against Baltimore.

The Baltimore Orioles will look to rebound after dropping game two on Saturday. Renato Nunez had a home run and three RBIs while Anthony Santander went 4 for 5 with a solo home run and a triple. Trey Mancini and Chris Davis each had an RBI to round out Baltimore’s scoring as a team in the losing effort, with Mancini adding a pair of doubles. Dwight Smith Jr. and Richie Martin each had a double with Martin going 2 for 4 at the dish while Chance Sisco and Rio Ruiz each had a base hit. Tom Eshelman took the loss, falling to 0-2 on the year after allowing nine runs, five earned, on six hits while walking and striking out three apiece over 3.2 innings of work. Asher Wojciechowski will start game three and is 0-3 with a 5.74 ERA and 21 strikeouts this season. This will be Wojciechowski’s first career start against Boston.

Boston is 26-10 in their last 36 road games and 62-18 in their last 80 game three matchups while the over is 12-4-1 in their last 17 division games. Baltimore is 17-44 in their last 61 games overall and 7-19 in their last 26 Sunday games while the over is 14-6-2 in their last 22 division games. Boston is 36-17 in the last 53 meetings between these two teams and 25-7 in the last 32 meetings between these two teams in Baltimore.

We saw Baltimore’s true colors on Saturday as the O’s couldn’t keep runs off of the board and Wojciechowski isn’t really going to help matters as he’s allowed 10 runs in 15 innings of work while getting just a total of five runs of support. On the other hand, Cashner’s first start in a Boston uniform didn’t go well, giving up six runs, five earned over five innings of work. Either way, I’m not laying this kind of price with Boston until I see something from Cashner, especially against his former team who knows the kind of stuff that he throws. I’m also not sold on Baltimore, even with the heavy plus money. Instead, I’m going to side with the over as both sides have shown the ability to score in this series.

Pick:
Over: 12.5 (-105)

Chris has been a sports fan from when he was old enough to pick up a basketball and was a standout offensive lineman throughout high school and college. Chris uses that same instinct, determination and drive to analyze trends and statistics to find and produce winners on a consistent basis. Chris has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2016 and covers a wide array of sports from college and pro football, college basketball, hockey and baseball.

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