Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Indians - 6/30/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Cleveland Indians at Baltimore Orioles
Sunday, June 30, 2019 at 12:05 PM (Camden Yards)
Over: 10 (-115) / Under: 10 (-105)
TV: MASN2, SportsTime Ohio
The Cleveland Indians and the Baltimore Orioles meet in the finale of their three game set in MLB action from Camden Yards on Sunday.
The Cleveland Indians will look to rebound after a second straight 13-0 loss to the O’s in Saturday’s game two. Jason Kipnis had a double and Kevin Plawecki went 2 for 3 while Francisco Lindor and Carlos Santana each had a base hit as the Tribe had just five hits as a team in the losing effort. Zach Plesac took the loss, falling to 3-3 on the year after allowing seven runs on seven hits while walking three and striking out four over 3.2 innings of work. Shane Bieber will start game three and is 6-3 with a 3.83 ERA and 122 strikeouts this season. This will be Bieber’s second career start against Baltimore.
The Baltimore Orioles will look to complete the sweep after taking the first two games of the series in dominant fashion. Renato Nunez had a pair of home runs and four RBIs while Trey Mancini went 3 for 4 with a double and three RBIs. Jonathan Villar and Chance Sisco each had two RBIs with Villar doubling while Sisco had a home run. Anthony Santander added a solo home run and Hanser Alberto went 2 for 4 with a double and an RBI to finish off Baltimore’s scoring as a team in the win. Dwight Smith Jr. had a double and Keon Broxton added a base hit of his own to cap off the Baltimore offense in the victory. Andrew Cashner got the win to improve to 8-3 on the year after tossing seven shutout innings, giving up just three hits while striking out six in the win. Gabriel Ynoa will start game three and is 0-5 with a 6.75 ERA and 31 strikeouts this season. This will be Ynoa’s second career start against Cleveland.
Cleveland is 6-1 in Bieber’s last 7 starts against the AL East and 8-1 in their last 9 games following a loss while the over is 4-1 in their last 5 road games. Baltimore is 0-5 in Ynoa’s last 5 starts and 14-51 in their last 65 games against a team with a winning record while the over is 12-2-2 in their last 16 games overall. Cleveland is 13-5 in the last 18 meetings between these two teams.
Cleveland being favored kind of makes sense as Bieber is the better pitcher and his lone start against Baltimore saw him toss a complete game shutout. However, I’m not backing an Indians team that’s been shut out in the first two games of the set and outscored by 26 runs at that. On the other hand, I’m not siding with Baltimore as the Orioles’ offense won’t keep producing like this and the Orioles provide little betting value on the whole. Also, Ynoa has allowed a combined 13 runs in his last two starts spanning just 7.2 innings of work. Which is why I’m going to side with the over. I don’t see Cleveland being shut out for a third straight game and I also see Baltimore plating a few runs of their own, so I think the total will finish over for the third straight day.