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Baltimore Orioles vs. Minnesota Twins - 4/21/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Minnesota Twins at Baltimore Orioles
Date & Time Sunday April 21, 2019, 1:05 PM (EDT)
Location
Camden Yards
Baltimore, MD
The Line
Over: 9.5 (-116) / Under: 9.5 (-105)
TV Channel
FS-North, MASN
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The Minnesota Twins and the Baltimore Orioles meet in the finale of their three game set in MLB action from Camden Yards on Sunday afternoon.

The Minnesota Twins will look to complete the sweep of the Orioles after winning both legs of Saturday’s doubleheader, taking game one by a final score of 6-5 and game two in a 16-7 beatdown. In game one, Eddie Rosario and Byron Buxton led the Twins with two RBIs apiece, with Rosario batting 3 for 5 at the dish with a pair of solo home runs and a double. In game two, Mitch Garver led the way with five RBIs, going 3 for 6 with a pair of home runs and a double while Jonathan Schoop chipped in four RBIs with a pair of homers and a double as well. Nelson Cruz followed suit with a pair of home runs and a double while going 4 for 5 with three RBIs. Jose Berrios got the win to improve to 3-1 in game one and Martin Perez picked up the W in game two to improve to 2-0 on the year. Kyle Gibson will start the finale and is 0-0 with a 7.36 ERA and 12 strikeouts this season. In his career, Gibson is 4-2 with a 4.89 ERA and 45 strikeouts against Baltimore.

The Baltimore Orioles will look to salvage a win from the set after dropping both legs of the doubleheader on Saturday. In game one, Dwight Smith Jr. led the O’s with a home run and two RBIs while Renato Nunez and Pedro Severino each hit a solo blast and Trey Mancini added a pair of doubles and an RBI. In game two, Nunez clubbed a pair of home runs with three RBIs while Hanser Alberto hit a homer and added a pair of RBIs of his own. Dan Straily took the loss in game one after allowing three runs in five innings while Alex Cobb ended up with the L in game two after allowing nine runs on ten hits in just 2.2 innings of work. Dylan Bundy will start game three and is 0-2 with a 7.79 ERA and 22 strikeouts this season. In his career, Bundy is 0-3 with a 5.01 ERA and 20 strikeouts against Minnesota.

Minnesota is 16-7 in their last 23 games overall and 6-1 in their last 7 game three matchups while the over is 6-2 in their last 8 road games. Baltimore is 17-41 in their last 58 game three matchups and 20-45 in their last 65 games against the AL Central while the over is 8-0 in their last 8 home games. Minnesota is 21-8 in the last 29 meetings between these two teams and 6-1 in the last 7 meetings between the two teams in Baltimore.

Laying the juice with Minnesota on the road looks like a decent pick based on the fact that the O’s have been thoroughly outplayed so far in the series, and the fact that Bundy has had no luck in his career against the Twins. However, I’m not overly sold on Gibson, and both pitchers have allowed at least three earned runs in each of their combined seven starts this season. Combine that between a pair of pitchers that have ERAs well over seven, and I think this game also goes into double digits just like both games did on Saturday.

Pick:
Over: 9.5 (-116)

Chris has been a sports fan from when he was old enough to pick up a basketball and was a standout offensive lineman throughout high school and college. Chris uses that same instinct, determination and drive to analyze trends and statistics to find and produce winners on a consistent basis. Chris has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2016 and covers a wide array of sports from college and pro football, college basketball, hockey and baseball.

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