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Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees - 4/6/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
New York Yankees at Baltimore Orioles
Date & Time Saturday April 6, 2019, 7:05 PM (EDT)
Location
Oriole Park
Baltimore, Maryland
The Line
Baltimore Orioles +180 / New York Yankees -230 O/U: 8
TV Channel
YES, MASN
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The New York Yankees and the Baltimore Orioles will meet up to continue their MLB series on Saturday.

For Saturday’s game two in this set, the Yankees will be going with lefty JA Happ in the start. Over 4.0 innings in his inaugural outing this year, Happ gave up four earned on five hits in a loss to Baltimore on March 31.

Gleyber Torres leads the Yankees’ offensive attack so far this year with 10 hits, three runs, two homers  and four RBI. DJ LeMahieu is looking like a smart signing as he’s in second with eight hits, five runs and two RBI.

Over on the O’s side, they’re going with Dylan Bundy on Saturday for the start. In Bundy’s first start this year versus the Yankees March 31, he went 3.2 innings with two hits and three earned runs.

Baltimore’s top hitters this season are Trey Mancini and Jonathan Villar. Both Mancini and Villar each have 10 hits, and a combined five homers, 12 RBI and 12 runs between them so far.

The Yankees are 8-3 in their last 11 after an off day and 5-2 in their last seven road games. New York is 10-4 in their last 14 in game two of a series and 40-16 in their last 56 Saturday games.

Meanwhile, the O’s are 18-42 in their last 60 home games and 55-137 in their last 192 overall. Baltimore is 10-25 in Bundy’s last 35 starts and 1-5 in his last six home starts.

The Yankees have been getting punched in the mouth with the fist of reality in the early-going this year, and with the injuries and the underperformance all around New York’s potential on paper is quickly evaporating—they’ve already got a stretch this year where they lost four of five games. That type of run, at any point in the season, is unacceptable for a World Series favorite.

Stats wise, Bundy wasn’t awful on March 31 versus the Yankees, but he wasn’t any good either. This one’s going to come down to which offense can get things going, and with the way the Yankees are playing I’m hesitant to put them down for anything—even when it makes sense. The numbers here seem to show a better chance at the Orioles paying off, and a safer bet overall, but since the New York juggernaut could wake up at any time I’m staying away.

Pick:
Baltimore Orioles +180

Andrew has been with Sports Chat Place since 2012, contributing to football, baseball and basketball across the fantasy, college and professional ranks. His goal is to break down the complicated trends and numbers into a language that's accessible even if you're not a seasoned sports bettor, providing comprehensive insight that can apply to just about everyone. Follow Andrew on Twitter for links to his latest Sports Chat Place picks. 

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