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Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees - 8/7/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

New York Yankees at Baltimore Orioles
Date & Time Wednesday August 7, 2019, 7:05 PM (EDT)
Camden Yards
Baltimore, MD
The Line
Over: 9.5 (-110) / Under: 9.5 (-110)
TV Channel
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Mitch Stringer-USA TODAY Sports

The New York Yankees and the Baltimore Orioles meet in the finale of their three game AL East division set in MLB action from Camden Yards on Wednesday.

The New York Yankees will look to complete another sweep and extend their current winning streak which right now sits at seven games following a 9-4 win in game two on Tuesday. Austin Romine had went 3 for 5 with a home run, two doubles and three RBIs while Mike Tauchman had a home run, a double and two RBIs. DJ LeMahieu, Didi Gregorius, Brett Gardner and Cameron Maybin each launched solo homers to round out New York’s scoring as a team in the win while Mike Ford added a double to cap off the Yankee offense in the victory. Nestor Cortes Jr. picked up the win in relief to improve to 5-0 on the year while Adam Ottavino closed out the final two innings for his 1st save of the year. James Paxton will start game three and is 6-6 with a 4.61 ERA and 123 strikeouts this season. In his career, Paxton is 3-1 with a 3.86 ERA and 31 strikeouts against Baltimore.

The Baltimore Orioles will look to salvage a win and avoid the sweep after dropping the first two games of the series. Anthony Santander went 2 for 4 with a home run and two RBIs while Jonathan Villar went 2 for 5 with a triple and an RBI and Trey Mancini added a double with an RBI to cap off Baltimore’s scoring as a team in the loss. Pedro Severino went 2 for 3 at the dish while Renato Nunez, Hanser Alberto, Stevie Wilkerson and Richie Martin each contributed base hits to finish off the Oriole offense in defeat. Asher Wojciechowski took the loss, falling to 2-5 on the year after giving up five runs on six hits while walking three and striking out five over four innings of work. John Means will start game three and is 8-6 with a 3.12 ERA and 78 strikeouts this season. This will be Means’ first career start against the Yankees.

New York is 1-5 in Paxton’s last 6 starts and 39-12 in their last 51 division games while the over is 13-3 in their last 16 games overall. Baltimore is 18-42 in their last 60 home games and 6-1 in their last 7 games against a left-handed starter while the over is 5-1 in Means’ last 6 starts overall. The over is 40-10-1 in the last 51 meetings between these two teams and 21-5-1 in the last 27 meetings between these two teams in Baltimore.

The only case you could make for Baltimore and the plus money is that Means has been one of their better starters this year, but even so, he’s coming off of the IL and hasn’t pitched in a couple of weeks so who knows how effective he will be, especially against a Yankee offense that’s raking right now. On the other hand, Paxton has been shaky, giving up seven runs in four innings in his last road start. Granted that came against the Red Sox, but Paxton’s ERA is more than two runs higher on the road (5.83) than at home (3.67) this season. Instead of trying to pick a side, I’m going to side with the over as we’ve seen in the first two games that both offenses can come together to push the total over the number, so I’ll bank on another high-scoring affair in the finale on Wednesday.

Over: 9.5 (-110)

Chris has been a sports fan from when he was old enough to pick up a basketball and was a standout offensive lineman throughout high school and college. Chris uses that same instinct, determination and drive to analyze trends and statistics to find and produce winners on a consistent basis. Chris has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2016 and covers a wide array of sports from college and pro football, college basketball, hockey and baseball.

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