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Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles - 4/12/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Baltimore Orioles at Boston Red Sox
Date & Time Friday April 12, 2019, 7:10 PM (EDT)
Location
Fenway Park
Boston, MA
The Line
Over: 9.5 (-105) / Under: 9.5 (-116)
TV Channel
MASN, NESN
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Butch Dill-USA TODAY Sports

The Baltimore Orioles and the Boston Red Sox meet in game one of a three game AL East division set from Fenway Park in MLB action on Friday night.

The Baltimore Orioles will look to rebound after losing 3 of 4 against the Oakland A’s, including an 8-5 loss in game four on Thursday. Dwight Smith Jr. led the O’s with two RBIs, going 2 for 4 with a home run and a double. Cedric Mullins and Pedro Severino each had an RBI while Jonathan Villar and Renato Nunez each chipped in a base hit as well in the losing effort. Dylan Bundy took the loss, falling to 0-1 after allowing six runs on seven hits while striking out eight over five innings of work. David Hess will start game one and is 1-1 with a 2.70 ERA and 12 strikeouts this season. In his career, Hess is 0-2 with an 11.25 ERA and 6 strikeouts against Boston.

The Boston Red Sox will look to build some momentum after splitting their two game set with Toronto after a 7-6 walk-off win on Thursday night. Mitch Moreland went 2 for 5 with a home run and the game-tying RBI double while Rafael Devers added a double two RBIs of his own including the game-winning RBI in the bottom of the 9th. J.D. Martinez had a double and an RBI while Dustin Pedroia put a run on the board as well. Andrew Benintendi and Xander Bogaerts each had base hits as well in the victory for the BoSox. Nathan Eovaldi allowed five runs on six hits while walking and whiffing four apiece, not factoring in the decision. Marcus Walden got the win to improve to 2-0 on the year. Eduardo Rodriguez will start game one and is 0-2 with a 12.38 ERA and 7 strikeouts this season. In his career, Rodriguez is 6-5 with a 3.74 ERA and 87 strikeouts against Baltimore.

Baltimore is 25-77 in their last 102 road games and 17-44 in their last 61 games overall while the over is 7-0 in their last 7 games overall. Boston is 3-8 in their last 11 games overall and 3-7 in their last 10 Friday games while the over is 10-2-1 in their last 13 division games. Baltimore is 2-8 in the last 10 meetings between these two teams in Boston and 6-21 in the last 27 meetings between these two teams overall.

I get Boston being favored at home because the Red Sox are simply the better team. However, I’m not trying to lay this kind of heavy juice with a Boston team that’s clearly still suffering from their World Series hangover. On the other hand, Baltimore is showing signs of being the bad team that many predicted that the O’s would be at the beginning of the season, as Baltimore couldn’t keep runs off of the board for most of the series against Oakland. Even with Hess being the best arm early on this season for Baltimore, he still has an ERA in double digits in his career against Boston. I think given how bad Rodriguez has looked combined with Hess’ struggles against Boston and Baltimore’s recent pitching issues as a whole, this is a game that I can easily see hitting double digits when all is said and done.

Pick:
Over: 9.5 (-105)

Chris has been a sports fan from when he was old enough to pick up a basketball and was a standout offensive lineman throughout high school and college. Chris uses that same instinct, determination and drive to analyze trends and statistics to find and produce winners on a consistent basis. Chris has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2016 and covers a wide array of sports from college and pro football, college basketball, hockey and baseball.

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