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Boston Red Sox vs. Houston Astros ALCS Game 1 - 10/13/18 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Houston Astros (106-59) at Boston Red Sox (111-55)
Date & Time Saturday October 13, 2018, 8:09 PM (EDT)
The Line
The Line: Boston Red Sox -110 / Houston Astros -109 --- Over/Under: 7.5
TV Channel
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The Houston Astros will visit the Boston Red Sox for Game 1 of their American League Championship Series in MLB action Saturday from Fenway Park. 

The Astros come into this one following a Division Series win over the Indians. The Astros completed the sweep without too much difficulty, winning 7-2, 3-1 and 11-3. 

For Game 1 of this set, Houston will be sending out Justin Verlander. Across 214.0 innings and a 16-9 record this year, Verlander had a 2.52 ERA with 290 Ks in the regular season. 

Marwin Gonzalez leads the Red Sox’ offense this postseason; he’s sitting on seven hits, one run and five RBI. George Springer is also hitting well, with three solo homers, six hits and four runs. 

Over on the Red Sox’ side, they finished off their rival Yankees in their American League Division Series, taking both games in New York as part of a 3-1 series victory. 

Boston will be going with Chris Sale in Game 1 of this series. Sale got through 158.0 innings this year with a 12-4 regular season record, compiling a 2.11 ERA with 237 Ks. 

Tops in hitting in the playoffs so far for the Sox is Xander Bogaerts, who comes in here with five hits, two runs, a homer and two RBI. JD Martinez also has five hits, with one run, a homer and six RBI. 

The Astros are 4-0 in their last four playoff games and 8-0 in their last eight Saturday games. Houston is 6-0 in Verlander’s last six starts and 17-3 in his last 20 road starts. 

Meanwhile, the Red Sox are 6-1 in Sale’s last seven home starts and 38-18 in his last 56 starts. Boston is 8-2 in their last 10 versus the AL West and 4-1 in their last five ALCS games. 

Neither of these teams had a whole lot of difficulties in their Division Series. Boston had a few scary moments against the Yankees—mostly bullpen related—but aside from that Game 2 loss at Fenway there’s really not a whole lot to complain about when you think about the offensive potential of the New York lineup. 

Houston comes into this set cruising and feeling confident after dispatching Cleveland in a sweep, and with Verlander on the mound they can beat anyone. 

I expect this series to be pretty epic, as these are the best two teams in all of baseball. Coming back home to Fenway with Sale on the mound could give Boston the edge they need in this one. I’m going Red Sox.

Boston Red Sox -110

Andrew has been with Sports Chat Place since 2012, contributing to football, baseball and basketball across the fantasy, college and professional ranks. His goal is to break down the complicated trends and numbers into a language that's accessible even if you're not a seasoned sports bettor, providing comprehensive insight that can apply to just about everyone. Follow Andrew on Twitter for links to his latest Sports Chat Place picks. 

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