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Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees - 7/25/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
New York Yankees at Boston Red Sox
Date & Time Thursday July 25, 2019, 7:10 PM (EDT)
Location
Fenway Park
Boston, Massachusetts
The Line
Boston Red Sox +117 / New York Yankees -127 O/U: 9.5
TV Channel
YES, NESN
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The New York Yankees and the Boston Red Sox will match up on the MLB diamond Thursday to begin their series.

The Yankees are coming off a set against the Twins. New York lost Monday 8-6 but managed a 14-12 win on Tuesday. In the Wednesday game, the Yankees powered through a 10-7 victory to take the series.

For Thursday’s opener, the Yankees will send out Masahiro Tanaka. This year Tanaka is 7-5 with a 4.00 ERA and 98 strikeouts.

Over on the Sox’ side, they’re coming off a series versus the Rays. Boston took the first pair of that set 9-4 and 5-4, then in the Wednesday finale the Red Sox fell 3-2.

Boston will be sending out Rick Porcello to start Thursday. Over his 110.2 innings and 8-7 record this year, Porcello has a 5.61 ERA with 87 Ks and 32 BBs.

The Yankees are 4-0 in their last four Thursday games and 37-15 in their last 52 in game one of a series. New York is 52-20 in their last 72 versus the AL East and 39-16 in their last 55 road games versus a team with a losing home record.

Meanwhile, Boston is 5-1 in their last six in game one of a series and 23-9 in the last 32 Thursday games. The Sox are 5-2 in Porcello’s last seven starts and 5-2 in his last seven Thursday starts.

Porcello has hit the skids statistically over his last five games, allowing a total of 27 earned runs in that time. The weird thing is, Porcello has won his last three starts despite giving up 16 earned in 16.2 innings of work.

As for New York, their Achilles heel right now is starting pitching—and some of the bullpen guys haven’t been so great either. (Though Chapman did okay in the save Wednesday.) Tanaka has been pretty solid relatively speaking, but this is probably still going to be a higher-scoring game.

I’m going with the Yankees in this one but if Boston can put up some runs early the game could go anywhere.

Pick:
New York Yankees -127

Andrew has been with Sports Chat Place since 2012, contributing to football, baseball and basketball across the fantasy, college and professional ranks. His goal is to break down the complicated trends and numbers into a language that's accessible even if you're not a seasoned sports bettor, providing comprehensive insight that can apply to just about everyone. Follow Andrew on Twitter for links to his latest Sports Chat Place picks. 

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