Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangers - 6/12/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Texas Rangers at Boston Red Sox
Wednesday, June 12, 2019 at 3:05 PM (Fenway Park)
Boston Red Sox -160 / Texas Rangers +140
TV: FS-Southwest, NESN
The Texas Rangers and the Boston Red Sox meet in game three of their four game set in MLB action from Fenway Park on Wednesday.
The Texas Rangers will look to win the series and push for a four game sweep in Thursday’s finale after taking game two on Tuesday by a final score of 9-5. Hunter Pence, Asdrubal Cabrera and Ronald Guzman each had two RBIs with Pence homering while Guzman had a double. Rougned Odor, Nomar Mazara and Danny Santana each had an RBI to round out Texas’ scoring as a team in the win, with Odor doubling. Elvis Andrus had a double while Tim Fedorowicz and Shin-Soo Choo each added a base knock to cap off Texas’ offense as a team in the win. Ariel Jurado got the win to improve to 4-2 on the year after allowing three runs on five hits while walking three and striking out six over six innings of work. Lance Lynn will start game three and is 7-4 with a 4.39 ERA and 85 strikeouts this season. In his career, Lynn is 2-1 with a 1.91 ERA and 20 strikeouts against Boston.
The Boston Red Sox will look to bounce back after dropping game two on Tuesday. Rafael Devers had a triple and two RBIs while Mookie Betts and Xander Bogaerts each had a solo home run. J.D. Martinez went 2 for 4 with a pair of doubles and an RBI to round out Boston’s scoring in the loss, while Christian Vazquez went 2 for 4 and Michael Chavis had a double to finish off the Red Sox offense in defeat. Darwinzon Hernandez took the loss, falling to 0-1 on the year after allowing four runs, three earned, on three hits while walking five and striking out seven over three innings of work. Rick Porcello will start game three and is 4-6 with a 4.86 ERA and 60 strikeouts this season. In his career, Porcello is 7-4 with a 5.16 ERA and 49 strikeouts against Texas.
Texas is 5-0 in their last 5 Wednesday games and 4-0 in their last 4 games against the AL East while the under is 4-0 in Lynn’s last 4 starts. Boston is 2-5 in Porcello’s last 7 starts against a team with a winning record and 1-7 in their last 8 home games while the over is 15-5 in their last 20 Wednesday games. Boston is 4-0 in Porcello’s last 4 starts against Texas.
Boston being favored at home makes sense on the surface, but I have a few issues with that line. First off, the Rangers have been the much better team so far in the set, and Boston comes into this one dropping five of their last six games. Lynn has allowed two runs or less in five of his last six starts, while Porcello has allowed nine runs in his last two starts spanning 10.2 innings of work. Lynn has also done a good job stifling the Red Sox in his career, while Porcello has had issues keeping runs off of the board against Texas, so taking everything into account, I think the Rangers and the plus money are a solid choice on Wednesday’s card.