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Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays - 7/18/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Toronto Blue Jays at Boston Red Sox
Date & Time Thursday July 18, 2019, 1:05 PM (EDT)
Location
Fenway Park
Boston, MA
The Line
Boston Red Sox / Toronto Blue Jays -- O/U:
TV Channel
RSN, NESN
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The Toronto Blue Jays and the Boston Red Sox meet in the finale of their four game AL East division set in MLB action from Fenway Park on Thursday.

The Toronto Blue Jays will look to bounce back and earn a series split after a 5-4 loss in game three on Wednesday. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. and Teoscar Hernandez each had two hits and two RBIs with Hernandez belting a pair of solo home runs while Gurriel Jr. had a solo home run as well. Justin Smoak added a base hit as well to cap off Toronto’s offense as a team as the Jays had just five hits as a team in the losing effort. Aaron Sanchez took yet another loss, falling to 3-14 on the year after allowing four runs on eight hits while striking out four over five innings of work. Thomas Pannone will start game four and is 2-3 with a 6.18 ERA and 40 strikeouts this season. This will be Pannone’s first career start against Boston.

The Boston Red Sox will look to win the series after taking game three on Wednesday. Rafael Devers went 3 for 5 with a home run, a double and four RBIs while Brock Holt went 3 for 4 with an RBI as well. Xander Bogaerts went 2 for 5 with a double and Christian Vazquez had two hits of his own while Andrew Benintendi added a double. Mookie Betts, J.D. Martinez and Michael Chavis each chipped in base hits as well in the victory. Eduardo Rodriguez got the win to improve to 11-4 on the year after allowing two runs on three hits while walking three and striking out four over 6.1 innings of work. Brandon Workman closed out the 9th for his 5th save of the season. Chris Sale will start game four and is 3-9 with a 4.27 ERA and 160 strikeouts this season. In his career, Sale is 7-5 with a 3.10 ERA and 117 strikeouts against Toronto.

Toronto is 2-6 in their last 8 road games and 4-11 in their last 15 division games while the over is 7-3 in their last 10 games against a left-handed starter. Boston is 2-7 in Sale’s last 9 home starts and 16-5 in their last 21 game four matchups while the under is 5-1-1 in Sale’s last 7 division starts. Toronto is 16-36 in the last 52 meetings between these two teams and 5-13 in the last 18 meetings between these two teams in Boston.

It’s hard to pick a side with no line, but Boston burned me on the RL on Wednesday night and I’m not overly comfortable in backing Toronto with Pannone making a spot start, so I’ll side with the over once it’s released. Sale has allowed five runs in three straight starts, including a start against these same Blue Jays. On the other side, Pannone gave up four runs in 4.1 innings of relief against these same Red Sox in his last appearance a couple of weeks ago, and in two starts this season, Pannone has allowed 11 runs in five innings of work. This seems like a game where the pitching matchup can produce some offensive fireworks, so I’ll take the over in this spot.

Pick:
Over

Chris has been a sports fan from when he was old enough to pick up a basketball and was a standout offensive lineman throughout high school and college. Chris uses that same instinct, determination and drive to analyze trends and statistics to find and produce winners on a consistent basis. Chris has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2016 and covers a wide array of sports from college and pro football, college basketball, hockey and baseball.

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