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Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Braves - 6/27/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Atlanta Braves at Chicago Cubs
Date & Time Thursday June 27, 2019, 2:20 PM (EDT)
Location
Wrigley Field
Chicago, IL
The Line
Chicago Cubs / Atlanta Braves -- O/U:
TV Channel
FS-Southeast
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The Atlanta Braves and the Chicago Cubs meet in the finale of their four game set in MLB action from Wrigley Field on Thursday.

The Atlanta Braves will look to win the series after taking game three on Wednesday by a final score of 5-3. Nick Markakis led the way with a home run and three RBIs while Brian McCann had a solo home run. Freddie Freeman went 2 for 4 with a double and Josh Donaldson added a two-bagger of his own while Dansby Swanson and starting pitcher Dallas Keuchel each had base hits to cap off Atlanta’s offense in the winning effort. Dallas Keuchel got the win to improve to 1-1 on the year after allowing three runs on eight hits over 5.2 innings of work. A.J. Minter closed out the 9th for his 4th save of the season. Bryse Wilson will start game four and is 0-0 with an 8.31 ERA and 4 strikeouts this season. This will be Wilson’s first career start against the Cubs.

The Chicago Cubs will look to earn a series split after dropping game three on Wednesday. Kris Bryant and Willson Contreras each had a solo home run, with Bryant going 3 for 5 while Contreras went 2 for 3 with a triple. Jason Heyward added an RBI to finish off the Cubs’ scoring as a team in the loss, while Addison Russell went 2 for 3. Albert Almora Jr. and Javier Baez each had a base knock to round out Chicago’s scoring as a team in the losing effort. Yu Darvish took the loss, falling to 2-4 on the year after allowing all five runs on five hits while striking out eight over five innings of work. Tyler Chatwood will start game four and is 3-1 with a 3.69 ERA and 30 strikeouts this season. In his career, Chatwood is 2-2 with a 4.93 ERA and 26 strikeouts against Atlanta.

Atlanta is 15-4 in their last 19 games overall and 6-1 in their last 7 games against the NL Central while the over is 15-5-1 in their last 21 games against a right-handed starter. Chicago is 7-1 in Chatwood’s last 8 starts and 51-24 in their last 75 home games against a right-handed starter while the under is 6-1 in their last 7 game four matchups. Atlanta is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings between these two teams.

You could make a case for the Braves as Atlanta has been the better team in the last two games of the series. However, it’s hard for me to get behind Atlanta given that Wilson hasn’t pitched since the end of April and gave up four runs in less than four innings in his lone start back in March. Chatwood has at least been in the Cubs’rotation and has a history as a starter, and you can argue that the Cubs are probably overdue for some positive momentum, so I’ll side with the Cubs at home for the series split on Thursday.

Pick:
Chicago Cubs

Chris has been a sports fan from when he was old enough to pick up a basketball and was a standout offensive lineman throughout high school and college. Chris uses that same instinct, determination and drive to analyze trends and statistics to find and produce winners on a consistent basis. Chris has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2016 and covers a wide array of sports from college and pro football, college basketball, hockey and baseball.

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