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Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds - 7/17/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Cincinnati Reds at Chicago Cubs
Date & Time Wednesday July 17, 2019, 2:20 PM (EDT)
Location
Wrigley Field
Chicago, IL
The Line
Chicago Cubs -130 / Cincinnati Reds +110
TV Channel
FS-Ohio
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The Cincinnati Reds and the Chicago Cubs meet in the rubber match of their three game NL Central division set in MLB action from Wrigley Field on Wednesday.

The Cincinnati Reds will look to rebound and win the series after dropping game two on Tuesday by a final score of 4-3. Eugenio Suarez had a solo home run while Nick Senzel went 2 for 5 with an RBI and Jose Peraza added an RBI of his own to round out Cincy’s scoring as a team in the loss with Peraza adding a double. Joey Votto added a two-bagger of his own while Phillip Ervin, Anthony DeSclafani and Scooter Gennett each added a base hit in the losing effort for the Reds. DeSclafani gave up three runs on four hits while striking out four over 5.2 innings of work, not factoring in the decision. Raisel Iglesias took the loss, falling to 2-8 in relief this season. Sonny Gray will start game three and is 5-5 with a 3.42 ERA and 112 strikeouts this season. In his career, Gray is 1-1 with a 3.86 ERA and 15 strikeouts against the Cubs.

The Chicago Cubs will look to win the series after evening the set up at one win apiece following their victory in game two on Tuesday. All of Chicago’s damage on the board came via the long ball, as Robel Garcia hit a two-run home run while Kris Bryant had a solo home run and Kyle Schwarber had a walk-off solo homer to round out the Cubs’ scoring as a team in the win. Anthony Rizzo went 2 for 3 with a double while Albert Almora Jr. and Javier Baez each chipped in a base hit to finish off Chicago’s offense in the victory. Alec Mills allowed three runs on five hits while striking out six over six innings of work, not factoring in the decision. Steve Cishek got the win in relief to improve to 3-5 on the year. Yu Darvish will start game three and is 2-4 with a 4.72 ERA and 119 strikeouts this season. In his career, Darvish is 2-0 with a 3.48 ERA and 36 strikeouts against Cincinnati.

Cincinnati is 6-0 in Gray’s last 6 division starts and 2-7 in their last 9 road games while the under is 6-2 in Gray’s last 8 road starts. Chicago is 6-2 in their last 8 games overall and 5-1 in their last 6 home games while the over is 4-1 in their last 5 game three matchups.

Darvish threw six shutout innings at home in his last start, but didn’t get the win, leaving Yu with an 0-6 record and an ERA well over five at Wrigley Field in his career. Numbers like that don’t do much for my confidence even if Chicago is the better lineup from top to bottom. Gray is building confidence and just took down the Cubs a couple of starts ago. I think the Reds can steal the finale as I just don’t have much faith in Darvish, so I’ll take a shot with Cincinnati and the plus money on Wednesday.

Pick:
Cincinnati Reds +110

Chris has been a sports fan from when he was old enough to pick up a basketball and was a standout offensive lineman throughout high school and college. Chris uses that same instinct, determination and drive to analyze trends and statistics to find and produce winners on a consistent basis. Chris has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2016 and covers a wide array of sports from college and pro football, college basketball, hockey and baseball.

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