Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers - 5/12/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Milwaukee Brewers at Chicago Cubs
Sunday, May 12, 2019 at 6:05 PM (Wrigley Field )
Chicago Cubs -137 / Milwaukee Brewers +127
The Milwaukee Brewers and the Chicago Cubs will meet up to finish their MLB series on Sunday.
The Brewers pummeled Chicago for a 7-0 victory in the opener on Friday, then in Saturday’s game we had a marathon 15-inning affair that ended 2-1 with a walk-off homer for the Cubs.
For the Sunday finale, the Brewers will be bringing out Jhoulys Chacin for the start. Across his 39.1 innings and 3-3 mark this year, Chacin has a 5.03 ERA with 29 Ks and 20 walks.
The Brewers offense couldn’t get much going in the Saturday loss. Hernan Perez’s solo homer in the fifth was the only sign of life early for Milwaukee in that one, but the team hung in there with defense.
Over on the Cubs’ side, they’re going with Jon Lester on Sunday. In his 32.0 innings and 2-1 mark thus far, Lester has a 1.41 ERA with 33 Ks and seven walks.
Chicago’s big hero in the 15-inning game Saturday was Wilson Contreras, who slapped a solo shot for the walk-off victory as part of a nine-hit day for the Cubs.
The Brewers are 10-4 in their last 14 Sunday games and 18-8 in their last 26 in game three of a series. Milwaukee is 1-4 in Chacin’s last five starts in game three of a series and 1-4 in his last five Sunday starts.
Meanwhile, the Cubs are 6-1 in the last seven in game three of a series and 13-5 in their last 18 Sunday games. Chicago is 5-1 in Lester’s last six Sunday starts and 38-14 in his last 52 home starts.
Chacin has certainly had some stinker outings this year, but over his last two starts he’s gotten things together with 11.0 innings, five hits and two earned runs combined.
As for Lester, he’s humming right along these days and hasn’t given up an earned run in either of his last two starts (13.0 innings; nine hits two unearned; 14 strikeouts). I cant’ find a whole lot of reasons not to take the Cubs here.