Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates - 7/13/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Pittsburgh Pirates at Chicago Cubs
Saturday, July 13, 2019 at 1:20 PM (Wrigley Field)
Chicago Cubs -175 / Pittsburgh Pirates +155
The Pittsburgh Pirates and the Chicago Cubs meet in game two of their three game NL Central division set in MLB action from Wrigley Field on Saturday afternoon.
The Pittsburgh Pirates will look to bounce back after suffering a 4-3 loss in game one of the series on Friday. Starling Marte accounted for all three Pittsburgh RBIs in the losing effort while Jose Osuna had a double. Melky Cabrera, Colin Moran and Jacob Stallings each had a base knock as well to round out Pittsburgh’s offense as a team in the loss as the Pirates cranked out just five hits as a team in the defeat. Chris Archer allowed three runs on three hits while striking out ten over six innings of work, not factoring in the decision. Kyle Crick took the loss, falling to 3-5 on the year in relief. Jordan Lyles will start game two and is 5-5 with a 4.36 ERA and 78 strikeouts this season. In his career, Lyles is 3-3 with a 4.53 ERA and 48 strikeouts against the Cubs.
The Chicago Cubs will look to build some steam after starting the second half with a victory on Friday. Kris Bryant had a solo home run while Robel Garcia, David Bote and Jason Heyward each chipped in RBIs as well to round out Chicago’s scoring as a team in the win. Anthony Rizzo, Javier Baez and Albert Almora Jr. each contributed base hits as well in the victory for Chicago as the Cubbies had just six hits as a team in the victory. Yu Darvish threw six shutout innings, giving up just two hits while striking out eight, not factoring in the decision. Randy Rosario got the win to improve to 1-0 in relief while Craig Kimbrel notched his 3rd save of the campaign. Jon Lester will start game two and is 8-6 with a 3.72 ERA and 93 strikeouts this season. In his career, Lester is 9-6 with a 3.12 ERA and 96 strikeouts against Pittsburgh.
Pittsburgh is 0-5 in Lyles’ last 5 starts and 5-11 in their last 16 road games while the over is 9-4-2 in their last 15 game two matchups. Chicago is 41-10 in Lester’s last 51 starts against a team with a losing record and 23-4 in Lester’s last 27 home starts against a team with a losing record while the under is 5-1 in their last 6 home games. Chicago is 7-1 in Lester’s last 8 starts against Pittsburgh and 4-0 in Lester’s last 4 home starts against Pittsburgh.
Both of these starters have had their fair share of rough starts lately, but the difference for me is that the Cubs win games for Lester, while Pittsburgh hasn’t had any luck with Lyles on the mound lately, losing his last five starts with Lyles himself taking the loss in four of those five outings. Chicago found a way to get the job done on Friday, and while I’m not a fan of the heavy juice in this spot, I just can’t back Pittsburgh with Lyles right now so I’ll side with the Cubs here.