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Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padres - 7/19/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
San Diego Padres at Chicago Cubs
Date & Time Friday July 19, 2019, 2:20 PM (EDT)
Location
Wrigley Field
Chicago, IL
The Line
Chicago Cubs -150 / San Diego Padres +130
TV Channel
FS-San Diego
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The San Diego Padres and the Chicago Cubs meet in game one of a three game set in MLB action from Wrigley Field on Friday.

The San Diego Padres will look to rebound after losing their series with the Marlins, making it five losses in their last six games following a 4-3 loss on Thursday. Fernando Tatis Jr. had a solo home run while Austin Hedges and Francisco Mejia each chipped in RBIs as well in the defeat. Manuel Margot went 3 for 3 with a triple and a double while Hunter Renfroe added a double of his own and Eric Hosmer chipped in a base hit to finish off the Padres’ offense in the losing effort. Dinelson Lamet allowed three runs, one earned, on six hits while striking out five, not factoring in the decision. Trey Wingenter took the loss in relief, falling to 1-3 on the year. Eric Lauer will start game one and is 5-7 with a 4.04 ERA and 72 strikeouts this season. This will be Lauer’s second career start against the Cubs.

The Chicago Cubs will look to keep the momentum going after winning their series against the Reds, taking their fifth win in six tries after a 5-2 win in game three on Wednesday. Jason Heyward had a double and two RBIs while Kris Bryant and Addison Russell each had a solo home run with Bryant going 2 for 3 at the dish in the win. Anthony Rizzo added an RBI to finish off the Cubs’ scoring while Javier Baez chipped in a base knock as the Cubs had six hits as a team in the victory. Yu Darvish got the win to improve to 3-4 on the year after throwing six shutout innings, giving up just two hits while striking out seven. Craig Kimbrel closed out the 9th for his 4th save of the campaign. Jon Lester will start game one and is 9-6 with a 3.74 ERA and 99 strikeouts this season. In his career, Lester is 3-1 with a 3.98 ERA and 36 strikeouts against San Diego.

San Diego is 1-5 in their last 6 games overall and 9-3 in Lauer’s last 12 series opening starts while the under is 7-1 in their last 8 games against a team with a winning record. Chicago is 42-10 in Lester’s last 52 starts against a team with a losing record and 2-6 in their last 8 games against the NL West while the under is 6-0 in their last 6 games following an off day. Chicago is 4-1 in Lester’s last 5 starts against San Diego.

The Padres and the plus money would be tempting if San Diego could give it some value. But the problem is that San Diego has come out flat to start the second half of the season, and even though Lauer has allowed one earned run in three straight starts, he still owns a 5.75 ERA on the road and his lone career start against the Cubs was one to forget, allowing five runs in just two innings of work. Lester has had his ups and downs, but he’s a far better pitcher at home where his ERA sits at 2.62, almost three runs less than on the road this season. The Cubs have also been the much hotter team out of the gate in the second half, so I’ll lay the juice with the Cubs in the series opener on Friday.

Pick:
Chicago Cubs -150

Chris has been a sports fan from when he was old enough to pick up a basketball and was a standout offensive lineman throughout high school and college. Chris uses that same instinct, determination and drive to analyze trends and statistics to find and produce winners on a consistent basis. Chris has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2016 and covers a wide array of sports from college and pro football, college basketball, hockey and baseball.

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