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Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins - 7/27/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Minnesota Twins at Chicago White Sox
Date & Time Saturday July 27, 2019, 7:10 PM (EDT)
Location
Guaranteed Rate Field
Chicago, IL
The Line
Over: 10.5 (-110) / Under: 10.5 (-110)
TV Channel
FS-North, WGN
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The Minnesota Twins and the Chicago White Sox meet in game three of a four game AL Central division set in MLB action from Guaranteed Rate Field on Saturday.

The Minnesota Twins will look to win the series and push for a sweep on Sunday after taking the first two games of the set following a 6-2 win in game two on Friday. Max Kepler had a home run and three RBIs while Nelson Cruz went 3 for 4 with a home run and two RBIs. Byron Buxton added an RBI to round out Minnesota’s scoring as a team in the win while Miguel Sano went 2 for 4 and Jorge Polanco added a double of his own. Eddie Rosario, Luis Arraez and Marwin Gonzalez each had a base hit to cap off Minnesota’s offense as a team in the victory. Michael Pineda got the win to improve to 7-5 on the year after allowing two runs on six hits while striking out five over seven innings of work. Martin Perez will start game three and is 8-3 with a 4.37 ERA and 93 strikeouts this season. In his career, Perez is 3-1 with a 4.88 ERA and 17 strikeouts against the White Sox.

The Chicago White Sox will look to bounce back after their loss in game two on Friday. Adam Engel had a home run while accounting for both Chicago RBIs in the defeat. Jon Jay went 2 for 3 with a double while Leury Garcia had two hits as well in the loss. Ryan Goins, Jose Rondon and Yolmer Sanchez each had a base hit as well in the losing effort for Chicago. Dylan Cease took the loss, falling to 1-3 on the year after allowing five runs on seven hits while walking three and striking out four over five innings of work. Ivan Nova will start game three and is 5-9 with a 5.49 ERA and 77 strikeouts this season. In his career, Nova is 2-2 with a 4.26 ERA and 15 strikeouts against Minnesota.

Minnesota is 32-13 in their last 45 division games and 43-19 in their last 62 games against a team with a losing record while the over is 9-1 in Perez’s last 10 starts overall. Chicago is 0-4 in Nova’s last 4 division starts and 0-6 in their last 6 division games while the over is 6-2 in Nova’s last 8 division starts. The over is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings between these two teams in Chicago.

To be honest, I’m not laying this kind of juice with Perez on the mound, even if the Twins are the better team and the White Sox haven’t been playing well enough to make me confident in taking the plus money, so I’m going to side with the over. Perez has allowed four or more runs in seven of his last nine starts while Nova has given up four or more in seven of his last ten starts. I just see this one being a high scoring affair, so I’ll side with the over even if the total is a little bit high.

Pick:
Over: 10.5 (-110)

Chris has been a sports fan from when he was old enough to pick up a basketball and was a standout offensive lineman throughout high school and college. Chris uses that same instinct, determination and drive to analyze trends and statistics to find and produce winners on a consistent basis. Chris has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2016 and covers a wide array of sports from college and pro football, college basketball, hockey and baseball.

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