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Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins - 7/28/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Minnesota Twins at Chicago White Sox
Date & Time Sunday July 28, 2019, 2:10 PM (EDT)
Location
Guaranteed Rate Field
Chicago, IL
The Line
Minnesota Twins: -1.5 (-120) / Chicago White Sox: 1.5 (+100)
TV Channel
FS-North
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The Minnesota Twins and the Chicago White Sox meet in the finale of their four game AL Central division set from Guaranteed Rate Field on Sunday.

The Minnesota Twins will look to rebound and win the series after dropping game three on Saturday by a final score of 5-1. Byron Buxton went 2 for 3 with a double while Marwin Gonzalez added a base hit of his own as the Twins had just three hits as a team in the loss. The rest of the Twins went 0 for 23 at the dish with 6 strikeouts in the losing effort. Martin Perez took the loss, falling to 8-4 on the year after giving up three runs on seven hits while striking out four over six innings of work. Kyle Gibson will start game four and is 9-4 with a 4.24 ERA and 109 strikeouts this season. In his career, Gibson is 8-4 with a 2.82 ERA and 93 strikeouts against the White Sox.

The Chicago White Sox will look to earn a series split after taking game three on Saturday. Yoan Moncada went 3 for 4 with a home run, two doubles and two RBIs while Adam Engel also had two RBIs and Welington Castillo added an RBI as well to cap off the White Sox scoring in the win. Leury Garcia went 2 for 5 with a double while Yolmer Sanchez had two hits as well. Jose Rondon and Jose Abreu each had a base hit to round out Chicago’s offense in the winning effort. Ivan Nova got the win to improve to 6-9 on the year after allowing one run on two hits while striking out four over six innings of work. Dylan Covey will start game four and is 1-6 with a 6.04 ERA and 31 strikeouts this season.

Minnesota is 6-1 in Gibson’s last 7 division starts and 44-19 in their last 63 games against a team with a losing record while the under is 6-1 in their last 7 road games. Chicago is 1-10 in Covey’s last 11 starts against a team with a winning record and 5-21 in Covey’s last 26 starts while the under is 5-2 in their last 7 games overall. Minnesota is 10-2 in the last 12 meetings between these two teams and 7-2 in Gibson’s last 9 road starts against the White Sox.

Chicago and the plus money is kind of tempting given how the White Sox put the clamps down on Saturday, but the issue is that Covey hasn’t been reliable, giving up 11 runs in 6.2 innings in two starts since rejoining the White Sox rotation. Gibson hasn’t been a dominant pitcher on the road, but he did limit the White Sox to one run in his lone start against Chicago earlier this season and the Twins have been the better team for the most part since the second half of the season started, so I’ll side with Minnesota for the series win and to cut down the heavy juice, I’ll back the Twins on the RL here.

Pick:
Minnesota Twins: -1.5 (-120)

Chris has been a sports fan from when he was old enough to pick up a basketball and was a standout offensive lineman throughout high school and college. Chris uses that same instinct, determination and drive to analyze trends and statistics to find and produce winners on a consistent basis. Chris has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2016 and covers a wide array of sports from college and pro football, college basketball, hockey and baseball.

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