Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Indians - 7/7/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Cleveland Indians at Cincinnati Reds
Sunday, July 7, 2019 at 12:10 PM (Great American Ballpark)
Cincinnati Reds +110 / Cleveland Indians -130
TV: FS-Ohio, SportsTime Ohio
The Cleveland Indians and the Cincinnati Reds meet in the finale of their mini two game interleague set from Great American Ballpark on Sunday.
The Cleveland Indians will look to win the set after taking the opener on Saturday by a final score of 7-2. Francisco Lindor, Roberto Perez and Jake Bauers each had two RBIs with Lindor adding a pair of solo home runs while Perez went 4 for 5 with a home run of his own. Jose Ramirez had a double and an RBI to round out Cleveland’s scoring as a team in the winning effort while Bobby Bradley had a pinch-hit double and Jason Kipnis each had a base hit as well in the winning effort. Shane Bieber got the win to improve to 8-3 on the year after giving up two runs on four hits while striking out eight over eight innings of work. Trevor Bauer will start game two and is 7-6 with a 3.74 ERA and 140 strikeouts this season. In his career, Bauer is 1-2 with a 3.03 ERA and 37 strikeouts against Cincinnati.
The Cincinnati Reds will look to salvage a split after dropping game one of the series on Saturday. Yasiel Puig went 3 for 4 with a home run, a double and both of Cincy’s RBIs in the loss. Joey Votto added a double while Eugenio Suarez had a base hit of his own as the Reds cranked out five hits as a team in the losing effort. Anthony DeSclafani gave up two runs on seven hits while striking out six over six innings of work, not factoring in the decision. Michael Lorenzen took the loss in relief, falling to 0-2 on the year. Tyler Mahle will start game two and is 2-8 with a 4.36 ERA and 92 strikeouts this season. This will be Mahle’s second career start against Cleveland.
Cleveland is 5-0 in Bauer’s last 5 starts and 5-0 in their last 5 road games while the under is 11-2 in Bauer’s last 13 starts against the AL Central. Cincinnati is 4-17 in Mahle’s last 21 starts and 1-10 in their last 11 games against the AL Central while the under is 12-3-1 in their last 16 home games. Cleveland is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings between these two teams and 5-0 in the last 5 meetings between these two teams in Cincinnati.
Both of these teams need a win heading into the all-star break, with Cincinnati in the tightest division in baseball where first and worst are separated by less than five games right now and the Indians are trying to chase down the Twins. The difference for me in this matchup is that Cleveland has been winning with Bauer on the mound, even with Bauer allowing five runs in two of his last three starts. Cincinnati doesn’t win many games with Mahle on the mound and his lone career start against Cleveland saw Mahle give up seven runs, five earned in less than three innings. Add in the current winning streak the Indians are on heading into the break, and I think laying the juice with Cleveland here isn’t a bad option.