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Cincinnati Reds vs. Houston Astros - 6/17/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Houston Astros at Cincinnati Reds
Date & Time Monday June 17, 2019, 7:10 PM (EDT)
Great American Ball Park
Cincinnati, Ohio
The Line
Cincinnati Reds -115 / Houston Astros +105 O/U: 8.5
TV Channel
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The Houston Astros and the Cincinnati Reds will match up on the MLB diamond Monday to kick off their series.

Houston is coming off a weekend set versus the Blue Jays. The Astros won 15-2 Friday and 7-2 Saturday, then on Sunday Houston was stopped 12-0

For Monday’s game, the Astros are bringing out Wade Miley in the start. Over his 80.1 innings and 6-3 record this year, Miley has a 3.14 ERA with 65 Ks and 21 BBs.

Over on the Reds’ side, they just finished up against the Rangers this weekend. Cincinnati fell in the first two games 7-1 and 4-3 in that set, then Sunday the Reds won 11-3.

In the Monday outing, the Reds are sending out Luis Castillo for the start. Over his 81.2 innings and 6-1 record this year, Castillo has a 2.20 ERA with 96 Ks and 38 BBs.

The Astros are 46-16 in their last 62 in game one of a series and 36-17 in their last 53 Monday games. Houston is 4-0 in Miley’s last four starts in game one of a series and 8-2 in his last 10 starts.

Meanwhile, the Reds are 9-3 in Castillo’s last 12 starts versus a team with a winning record and 9-4 in his last 13 in game one of a series. Cincinnati is 13-6 in Castillo’s last 19 home starts and the over is 3-0-1 in their last four Monday games.

This looks to be a pretty darn good pitching matchup. Miley has three quality starts in his last four outings and has given up just six earned in 24.0 innings during that span.

As for Castillo, he has consecutive quality starts to his credit and has surrendered three earned in 17.1 innings over his last three outings.

All things considered here however, Houston is simply the better team and I’m going with them on a victory.

Houston Astros +105

Andrew has been with Sports Chat Place since 2012, contributing to football, baseball and basketball across the fantasy, college and professional ranks. His goal is to break down the complicated trends and numbers into a language that's accessible even if you're not a seasoned sports bettor, providing comprehensive insight that can apply to just about everyone. Follow Andrew on Twitter for links to his latest Sports Chat Place picks. 

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