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Cincinnati Reds vs. Houston Astros - 6/18/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Houston Astros at Cincinnati Reds
Date & Time Tuesday June 18, 2019, 7:10 PM (EDT)
Great American Ballpark
Cincinnati, OH
The Line
Cincinnati Reds +160 / Houston Astros -180
TV Channel
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The Houston Astros and the Cincinnati Reds meet in game two of a three game interleague set in MLB action from Great American Ballpark on Tuesday.

The Houston Astros will look to rebound after losing the series opener on Monday by a final score of 3-2. Michael Brantley had a double and an RBI while Yuli Gurriel went 2 for 3 and Yordan Alvarez added a base hit as well to round out Houston’s offense as the Astros mustered up just four hits as a team in the loss. The rest of the Astros managed to go 0 for 17 with 6 strikeouts in the losing effort. Wade Miley took the loss, falling to 6-4 on the year after allowing three runs on four hits while walking four and striking out six over 4.1 innings of work. Justin Verlander will start game two and is 9-2 with a 2.41 ERA and 125 strikeouts this season. This will be Verlander’s second career start against Cincinnati.

The Cincinnati Reds will be looking to build on their solid start to the series with their win on Monday. Nick Senzel had two RBis and Eugenio Suarez added an RBI as well while Jose Peraza went 2 for 4 and Curt Casali and Kyle Farmer each had base hits as well as none of the Reds’ six base hits went for extra bases in the winning effort. Luis Castillo got the win to improve to 7-1 on the year after allowing just two runs on two hits while walking six and striking out seven over six innings of work. Michael Lorenzen closed out the 9th for his 3rd save of the year. Anthony DeSclafani will start game two and is 3-3 with a 4.43 ERA and 64 strikeouts this season. This will be DeSclafani’s first career start against Houston.

Houston is 25-5 in Verlander’s last 30 road starts and 46-19 in their last 65 games overall while the over is 11-1 in their last 12 Tuesday games. Cincinnati is 1-6 in DeSclafani’s last 7 home starts and 2-8 in their last 10 games against the AL West while the under is 9-1 in their last 10 games against a right-handed starter. Houston is 19-42 in the last 61 meetings between these two teams and 8-20 in the last 28 meetings between these two teams in Cincinnati.

The plus money with Cincinnati at home is tempting given that DeSclafani has allowed one run in back-to-back starts. However, DeSclafani is actually a better pitcher on the road than at home, as DeSclafani has an ERA well over five at the Great American Ballpark this season. Also, there’s certain things you don’t do in life, and one of them is bet against Justin Verlander in interleague play. JV is a career 34-7 with a 2.76 ERA in 49 career interleague starts. Verlander has also been one of the stronger arms in the majors this season, and given that the price isn’t bad, I’ll lay the juice with Houston in this spot.

Houston Astros -180

Chris has been a sports fan from when he was old enough to pick up a basketball and was a standout offensive lineman throughout high school and college. Chris uses that same instinct, determination and drive to analyze trends and statistics to find and produce winners on a consistent basis. Chris has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2016 and covers a wide array of sports from college and pro football, college basketball, hockey and baseball.

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