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Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlins - 4/9/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Miami Marlins at Cincinnati Reds
Date & Time Tuesday April 9, 2019, 6:40 PM (EDT)
Location
Great American Ballpark
Cincinnati, OH
The Line
Cincinnati Reds -153 / Miami Marlins +141
TV Channel
FS-Florida, FS-Ohio
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Jasen Vinlove-USA TODAY Sports

The Miami Marlins and the Cincinnati Reds meet in game one of a three game set from the Great American Ball Park in MLB action on Tuesday evening.

The Miami Marlins will look to rebound after dropping the rubber match of their set with Atlanta by a final score of 4-3 on Sunday. Curtis Granderson hit a solo home run while Miguel Rojas and Caleb Smith each had an RBI as well to round out Miami’s scoring. Starlin Castro went 2 for 4 with a double while Lewis Brinson and Martin Prado each added a base knock as well to finish off Miami’s offense in the loss. Caleb Smith allowed three runs on four hits while striking out seven over six innings of work, not factoring in the decision. Adam Conley ended up with the loss, falling to 0-2 in the process. Jose Urena will start game one and is 0-2 with a 10.38 ERA and 6 strikeouts this season. In his career, Urena is 2-1 with a 3.06 ERA and 11 strikeouts against Cincinnati.

The Cincinnati Reds will be out to snap an 8-game losing streak after being swept for the second straight series following a 7-5 loss to Pittsburgh on Sunday. Derek Dietrich led the Reds by going 2 for 4 with a pair of home runs and four RBIs while Scott Schebler added a solo shot to finish off Cincy’s scoring in the losing effort. Matt Kemp, Jose Peraza and Tucker Barnhart all contributed base hits as well in the defeat. Anthony DeSclafani gave up six runs on seven hits over 4.1 innings of work while striking out five, taking the loss to fall to 0-1 this season. Luis Castillo will start the opener and is 0-1 with a 1.42 ERA and 17 strikeouts this season. In his career, Castillo is 1-0 with a 0.55 ERA and 11 strikeouts against Miami.

Miami is 5-2 in Urena’s last 7 starts and 16-42 in their last 58 road games while the under is 7-0-2 in their last 9 games against the NL Central. Cincinnati is 10-4 in Castillo’s last 14 home starts and 0-4 in their last 4 home games while the under is 4-0 in their last 4 games against the NL East. Miami is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings between these two teams.

There’s not many occurrences where I will suggest laying juice with a team that’s lost eight in a row, even at home. However, this is one of those times. Luis Castillo is a solid pitcher just playing for a not so great team, as the guy has thrown back-to-back one run starts to start the season and has yielded just one earned run in 16.1 career innings against Miami. Urena isn’t a pitcher I’m trying to get behind as he has given up five earned in both of his starts this season and continues to be an arm that’s hard to trust, so given the edge on the mound I feel that backing Cincinnati is the better play here.

Pick:
Cincinnati Reds -153

Chris has been a sports fan from when he was old enough to pick up a basketball and was a standout offensive lineman throughout high school and college. Chris uses that same instinct, determination and drive to analyze trends and statistics to find and produce winners on a consistent basis. Chris has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2016 and covers a wide array of sports from college and pro football, college basketball, hockey and baseball.

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