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Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers - 4/1/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Milwaukee Brewers at Cincinnati Reds
Date & Time Monday April 1, 2019, 6:40 PM (EDT)
Great American Ballpark
Cincinnati, OH
The Line
Cincinnati Reds -120 / Milwaukee Brewers +100
TV Channel
FS-Ohio, FS-Wisconsin
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Jeff Hanisch-USA TODAY Sports

The Milwaukee Brewers and the Cincinnati Reds meet in game one of a three game NL Central division set in MLB action from the Great American Ballpark on Monday.

The Milwaukee Brewers will look to keep their momentum going after winning their series against St. Louis, taking three of four games after a 5-4 win over the Cardinals. Christian Yelich homered for the fourth straight game, going 2 for 2 with a double and three RBIs. Ryan Braun and Travis Shaw each had an RBI to round out the scoring for the Brew Crew in the win. Lorenzo Cain went 2 for 4 with a double while Ben Gamel added a pinch-hit two-bagger and Hernan Perez and Jesus Aguilar each had base hits of their own in the winning effort. Corbin Burnes threw five innings, allowing four runs on six hits while striking out 12, not factoring in the decision. Jacob Barnes picked up the win in relief to improve to 1-0 this season. Zach Davies will start game one and was 2-7 with a 4.77 ERA and 49 strikeouts last season. In his career, Davies is 3-3 with a 3.29 ERA and 36 strikeouts against Cincinnati.

The Cincinnati Reds will look to rebound after settling for a series split in their set with Pittsburgh that was shortened by rain after a 5-0 loss in the series finale on Sunday. Joey Votto went 2 for 4 with a double while Tucker Barnhart and Jose Iglesias each added a base hit as Cincinnati cranked out just four hits as a team in the losing effort. Sonny Gray lasted just 2.2 innings, giving up three runs, two earned, on five hits while walking four, taking the loss to fall to 0-1 this season. Tanner Roark will make his Reds debut in this game and was 9-15 with a 4.34 ERA and 146 strikeouts last season for Washington. In his career, Roark is 4-2 with a 2.68 ERA and 46 strikeouts against Milwaukee.

Milwaukee is 36-15 in their last 51 games overall and 7-1 in their last 8 division games while the under is 9-3 in Davies’ last 12 road starts. Cincinnati is 2-8 in their last 10 games overall and 7-18 in their last 25 division games while the under is 19-7-1 in their last 27 games overall. Milwaukee is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings between these two teams and 7-3 in the last 10 meetings between these two teams in Cincinnati.

I’m sure that Roark is pumped to make his first start for his new team, but the fact remains that Roark has been around a .500 pitcher for the last couple of seasons, and didn’t pitch particularly well down the stretch last season, giving up four or more runs in three of his last four starts to end the season. Davies wasn’t good in his own right, but we are getting plus money to back a Brewers team that’s picked up right where they left off last season, while Cincinnati is still trying to get their feet underneath themselves. I’ll take a shot with Milwaukee to keep their hot start going on Monday.

Milwaukee Brewers +100

Chris has been a sports fan from when he was old enough to pick up a basketball and was a standout offensive lineman throughout high school and college. Chris uses that same instinct, determination and drive to analyze trends and statistics to find and produce winners on a consistent basis. Chris has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2016 and covers a wide array of sports from college and pro football, college basketball, hockey and baseball.

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