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Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers - 4/3/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Milwaukee Brewers at Cincinnati Reds
Date & Time Wednesday April 3, 2019, 12:35 PM (EDT)
Location
Great American Ball Park
Cincinnati, Ohio
The Line
Cincinnati Reds -109 / Milwaukee Brewers +103
TV Channel
FSOH, FSWI
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David Kohl-USA TODAY Sports

The Milwaukee Brewers and the Cincinnati Reds will be finishing up their MLB series on Wednesday.

In the series opener, the Brewers took a 4-3 win. On Tuesday, Milwaukee put up three runs in the sixth inning on the way to another 4-3 win.

For the Wednesday game, the Brewers will be bringing out RHP Freddy Peralta for the start. In his 3.0 innings so far this year, Peralta allowed four earned on six hits against the Cardinals on March 29.

Lorenzo Cain and Christian Yelich were tied for the Brewers hits lead heading into Tuesday with seven apiece, along with a combined 11 runs. On Tuesday, Cain plated a run and Yelich managed a pair of hits.

Over on the Reds’ side, they’re going with Luis Castillo on Wednesday. In his first start this year, Castillo put up a nice one on 5.2 innings, two hits and one earned, but had to settle for a no-decision.

In Tuesday’s loss, Eugenio Suarez led the Reds with a pair of hits, two RBI and a run. Anthony DeSclafani put up 5.0 innings of three-hit ball with one earned and eight strikeouts as well.

The Brewers are 13-3 in their last 16 in game three of a series and 5-2 in their last seven Wednesday games. Milwaukee is 26-12 in their last 38 versus a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15 and the under is 3-0-1 in their last four Wednesday games.

Meanwhile, the Reds are 1-4 in their last five in game three of a series and 1-10 in their last 11 Wednesday games. Cincinnati is 5-1 in Castillo’s last six versus the NL Central and 7-2 in his last nine home starts.

Well, Peralta’s first start certainly didn’t go as planned, and if we look back to last season he’s allowed four or more earned runs in three of his last five starts—pretty ugly stuff.

As for Castillo, he came out firing in his first start and has put up one earned or fewer in each of his last four outings. I’m going to go with Castillo to post another nice start here, and since I don’t trust Peralta much these days I’m picking the Reds.

Pick:
Cincinnati Reds -109

Andrew has been with Sports Chat Place since 2012, contributing to football, baseball and basketball across the fantasy, college and professional ranks. His goal is to break down the complicated trends and numbers into a language that's accessible even if you're not a seasoned sports bettor, providing comprehensive insight that can apply to just about everyone. Follow Andrew on Twitter for links to his latest Sports Chat Place picks. 

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