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Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates - 3/31/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Pittsburgh Pirates at Cincinnati Reds
Date & Time Sunday March 31, 2019, 1:10 PM (EDT)
Location
Great American Ballpark
Cincinnati, OH
The Line
Cincinnati Reds -130 / Pittsburgh Pirates +120 -- O/U: 8.5
TV Channel
FS-Ohio
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Aaron Doster-USA TODAY Sports

The Pittsburgh Pirates and the Cincinnati Reds meet in game two of their three game NL Central division set from the Great American Ballpark on Sunday afternoon after being rained out on Saturday..

The Pittsburgh Pirates will look for a bounce back performance after dropping their season opener on Thursday to the Reds by a final score of 5-3. Jung-Ho Kang went 1 for 3 with two RBIs while Corey Dickerson added a solo homer to round out the scoring for Pittsburgh in the losing effort. Josh Bell, Francisco Cervelli and Erik Gonzalez each added a base hit as well as Pittsburgh mustered up just five hits as a team in the losing effort. Jameson Taillon took the loss, falling to 0-1 after allowing four runs on six hits while striking out four over six innings of work. Trevor Williams will start game two and was 14-10 with a 3.11 ERA and 126 strikeouts last season. In his career, Williams is 3-1 with a 3.78 ERA and 25 strikeouts against Cincinnati.

The Cincinnati Reds will look to build off of their strong start to the season after picking up the win over Pittsburgh on Thursday. Derek Dietrich led the Reds with a pinch-hit three-run homer, while Jose Peraza went 2 for 4 with a solo homer and Jose Iglesias went 2 for 3 with a pair of doubles and an RBI to round out the scoring for the Reds in the win. Joey Votto also added a double while Tucker Barnhart chipped in a base hit as well in the victory. Luis Castillo went 5.2 innings, allowing one run on two hits while striking out eight, not factoring in the decision. Zach Duke got the win while David Hernandez picked up his 1st save of the season. Sonny Gray will make his team debut here and was 11-9 with a 4.90 ERA and 123 strikeouts for the Yankees last season. In his career, Gray is 0-1 with a 7.88 ERA and 7 strikeouts against Pittsburgh.

Pittsburgh is 8-3 in their last 11 games against a right-handed starter and 6-1 in their last 7 games following a loss while the under is 36-13-2 in their last 51 Saturday games. Cincinnati is 2-7 in their last 9 games overall and 2-5 in their last 7 home games while the under is 9-2 in their last 11 division games. Pittsburgh is 4-1 in Williams’ last 5 starts against Cincinnati.

Cincinnati and their new look lineup looked solid in game one, but if we’re being honest, I’m still not sold on Sonny Gray as a reliable starter in the majors. Gray wasn’t great with a strong Yankees lineup behind him last season, and I’m not sure that changes for him in Cincinnati. Pittsburgh’s lost some power, but Williams has shown to be reliable and has had a lot of recent success against the Reds, so I’ll side with Pittsburgh to even up the set on Sunday.

Pick:
Pittsburgh +120

Chris has been a sports fan from when he was old enough to pick up a basketball and was a standout offensive lineman throughout high school and college. Chris uses that same instinct, determination and drive to analyze trends and statistics to find and produce winners on a consistent basis. Chris has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2016 and covers a wide array of sports from college and pro football, college basketball, hockey and baseball.

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