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Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates - 5/29/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Pittsburgh Pirates at Cincinnati Reds
Date & Time Wednesday May 29, 2019, 12:35 PM (EDT)
Great American Ballpark
Cincinnati, OH
The Line
Cincinnati Reds -155 / Pittsburgh Pirates +135
TV Channel
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The Pittsburgh Pirates and the Cincinnati Reds meet in the finale of their four game NL Central set from Great American Ballpark on Wednesday.

The Pittsburgh Pirates will look to pick up a series split after dropping game three on Tuesday by a final score of 11-6. Kevin Newman had a home run and four RBIs while Elias Diaz added a double while going 2 for 4 with two RBIs to round out Pittsburgh’s scoring as a team in the loss. Starling Marte and Josh Bell each had a double with Marte going 2 for 4 at the dish. Jacob Stallings and Bryan Reynolds each had a base hit as well to round out Pittsburgh’s offense as a team in the loss. Jordan Lyles gave up three runs on three hits while striking out three over four innings of work, taking the loss to fall to 5-2 this season. Steven Brault will start game four and is 1-1 with a 7.11 ERA and 21 strikeouts this season. In his career, Brault is 3-0 with a 1.27 ERA and 19 strikeouts against Cincinnati.

The Cincinnati Reds will look to win the series after taking game three on Tuesday. Derek Dietrich led the charge by going 3 for 4 with three home runs and six RBIs. Tucker Barnhart had three RBIs while Jose Peraza had a solo home run and Jesse Winker added a double and an RBI to round out Cincinnati’s scoring as a team in the win. Jose Iglesias went 2 for 3 with a triple and a double while Nick Senzel and Eugenio Suarez each had a double. Yasiel Puig added a base hit as well to cap off Cincy’s offense in the victory. Lucas Sims got the win to improve to 1-0 on the year after allowing four runs on six hits while striking out nine over 7.1 innings of work. Anthony DeSclafani will start game four and is 2-2 with a 4.99 ERA and 52 strikeouts this season. In his career, DeSclafani is 2-5 with a 4.53 ERA and 49 strikeouts against Pittsburgh.

Pittsburgh is 9-3 in Brault’s last 12 starts and 10-3 in their last 13 road games against a right-handed starter while the over is 20-6-1 in their last 27 games overall. Cincinnati is 1-5 in DeSclafani’s last 6 home starts and 18-38 in their last 56 division games while the under is 16-5 in their last 21 games against a left-handed starter. Cincinnati is 1-5 in DeSclafani’s last 6 starts against Pittsburgh.

I understand Cincinnati being favored at home with DeSclafani the more consistent starter of the two, but the problem is that DeSclafani has allowed four runs in each of his last four starts, going four innings or less in each of the last three. Brault got touched up in a starting role this season, but he’s been solid in his career against Cincinnati and the Pirates have a lot of momentum after scoring six runs in the final two innings on Tuesday, so I’ll take a shot at Pittsburgh and the plus money on Wednesday.

Pittsburgh Pirates +135

Chris has been a sports fan from when he was old enough to pick up a basketball and was a standout offensive lineman throughout high school and college. Chris uses that same instinct, determination and drive to analyze trends and statistics to find and produce winners on a consistent basis. Chris has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2016 and covers a wide array of sports from college and pro football, college basketball, hockey and baseball.

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