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Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates - 7/29/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Pittsburgh Pirates at Cincinnati Reds
Date & Time Monday July 29, 2019, 7:10 PM (EDT)
Great American Ballpark
Cincinnati, OH
The Line
Cincinnati Reds -180 / Pittsburgh Pirates +160
TV Channel
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The Pittsburgh Pirates and the Cincinnati Reds meet in game one of a three game NL Central division set in MLB action from Great American Ballpark on Monday.

The Pittsburgh Pirates need a win to snap an eight game losing streak after being swept by the Mets over the weekend, losing Sunday’s series finale by a final score of 8-7. Bryan Reynolds and Jose Osuna each had a home run and two RBIs while Jacob Stallings went 2 for 4 with a solo home run and Melky Cabrera had a double and an RBI. Starling Marte went 2 for 5 while Adam Frazier and Chris Archer each had a base hit as well in the losing effort. Archer took the loss, falling to 3-8 on the year after allowing six runs, five earned, on five hits while walking and striking out four apiece. Jordan Lyles will start game one and is 5-7 with a 5.36 ERA and 90 strikeouts this season. In his career, Lyles is 4-2 with a 4.30 ERA and 40 strikeouts against Cincinnati.

The Cincinnati Reds will look to build on their series victory over Colorado, taking down the Rockies by a final score of 3-2 in Sunday’s rubber match. Tucker Barnhart went 3 for 3 with a double and two RBIs while Jose Iglesias had an RBI as well in the victory. Scooter Gennett went 2 for 4 while Josh VanMeter and Joey Votto each added a base hit as well in the win. Alex Wood gave up both runs on seven hits while striking out four over 4.2 innings of work, not factoring in the decision. Lucas Sims got the win in relief to improve to 2-1 on the year while Raisel Iglesias closed out the 9th for his 19th save of the season. Sonny Gray will start game one and is 5-6 with a 3.29 ERA and 127 strikeouts this season. In his career, Gray is 1-3 with a 4.24 ERA and 21 strikeouts against Pittsburgh.

Pittsburgh is 0-8 in Lyles’ last 8 starts and 0-8 in their last 8 games overall while the over is 3-1-1 in their last 5 division games. Cincinnati is 5-1 in Gray’s last 6 home starts and 9-3 in Gray’s last 12 starts overall while the under is 31-14-1 in their last 46 games overall.

The plus money would be tempting with Pittsburgh as you feel that the Pirates are due for something positive to come their way, but the issue is that the Pirates are watching their season unravel before their eyes after this horrendous start to the second half of the season, finding different ways to lose during this losing streak and sending Lyles to the mound won’t really help matters as the Pirates have lost each of his last eight starts. Over that eight game stretch, Lyles has gone 0-6 with a 9.58 ERA including a 22.50 ERA in his last four starts. Gray hasn’t been a dominant pitcher in the win-loss category, but he’s given up two runs or less in each of his last five starts with the last three coming on the road. I just think until Pittsburgh shows signs of life, you have to fade them, so I’ll side with the Reds here.

Cincinnati Reds -180

Chris has been a sports fan from when he was old enough to pick up a basketball and was a standout offensive lineman throughout high school and college. Chris uses that same instinct, determination and drive to analyze trends and statistics to find and produce winners on a consistent basis. Chris has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2016 and covers a wide array of sports from college and pro football, college basketball, hockey and baseball.

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