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Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals - 7/18/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
St. Louis Cardinals at Cincinnati Reds
Date & Time Thursday July 18, 2019, 7:10 PM (EDT)
Location
Great American Ballpark
Cincinnati, OH
The Line
Cincinnati Reds -120 / St. Louis Cardinals +100
TV Channel
FS-Midwest, FS-Ohio
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The St. Louis Cardinals and the Cincinnati Reds meet in game one of a four game NL Central division set in MLB action from Great American Ballpark on Thursday.

The St. Louis Cardinals will look to build some momentum after picking up a series victory against Pittsburgh, taking the rubber match on Wednesday by a final score of 6-5. Paul Goldschmidt had a home run and three RBIs while Tyler O’Neill went 2 for 4 with a home run and two RBIs. Jose Martinez added an RBI to round out St. Louis’ scoring as a team in the win while Andrew Knizner contributed a double. Tommy Edman went 2 for 3 while Yairo Munoz contributed a base hit as well in the victory for St. Louis. Daniel Ponce de Leon gave up four runs on eight hits over 3.2 innings of work, not factoring in the decision. John Brebbia got the win to improve to 3-3 on the year while Carlos Martinez picked up his 6th save of the campaign. Dakota Hudson will start game one and is 8-4 with a 3.48 ERA and 73 strikeouts this season. In his career, Hudson is 1-0 with a 2.57 ERA and 4 strikeouts against Cincinnati.

The Cincinnati Reds will look to bounce back after losing their series with the Chicago Cubs, dropping the finale on Wednesday by a final score of 5-2. Nick Senzel went 2 for 4 with a double and an RBI while Yasiel Puig had an RBI of his own to cap off Cincy’s scoring as a team in the loss. Jose Peraza added a double while Juan Graterol, Jose Iglesias and Eugenio Suarez each contributed a base hit as well in the defeat. Sonny Gray took the loss, falling to 5-6 on the year after giving up two runs on two hits while striking out eight over six innings of work. Tanner Roark will start game one and is 5-6 with a 3.99 ERA and 95 strikeouts this season. In his career, Roark is 2-3 with a 5.74 ERA and 20 strikeouts against St. Louis.

St. Louis is 9-1 in Hudson’s last 10 starts and 5-2 in their last 7 games against a right-handed starter while the under is 11-3-1 in their last 15 series opening matchups. Cincinnati is 1-4 in Roark’s last 5 home starts and 9-4 in their last 13 home games while the under is 4-1 in Roark’s last 5 division starts. St. Louis is 23-11 in the last 34 meetings between these two teams and 13-4 in the last 17 meetings between these two teams in Cincinnati.

I’m not going to lie, this line is making me scratch my head a little bit. Yeah I get that Cincinnati is at home, but Roark has gone just 1-5 at home this season and is coming off of his worst start of the season in which he allowed seven runs in 4.2 innings of work, making it 11 runs in 11.1 innings over his last two starts. Granted, those seven runs came in the thin air of Coors Field, and the Reds won those two games, but Cincinnati has slowed down since the all-star break, losing four of their six games. St. Louis just seems to win with Hudson on the mound, winning nine of his last ten starts and St. Louis is just playing better baseball than the Reds right now. Give me St. Louis to draw first blood in the series opener on Thursday.

Pick:
St. Louis Cardinals +100

Chris has been a sports fan from when he was old enough to pick up a basketball and was a standout offensive lineman throughout high school and college. Chris uses that same instinct, determination and drive to analyze trends and statistics to find and produce winners on a consistent basis. Chris has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2016 and covers a wide array of sports from college and pro football, college basketball, hockey and baseball.

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