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Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals - 7/19/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
St. Louis Cardinals at Cincinnati Reds
Date & Time Friday July 19, 2019, 7:10 PM (EDT)
Location
Great American Ballpark
Cincinnati, OH
The Line
Cincinnati Reds -115 / St. Louis Cardinals -105
TV Channel
FS-Midwest, FS-Ohio
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David Kohl-USA TODAY Sports

The St. Louis Cardinals and the Cincinnati Reds meet in game two of a four game NL Central division set in MLB action from Great American Ballpark on Friday.

The St. Louis Cardinals will look to keep the momentum going after winning five of their last six games following a 7-4 win in game one on Thursday. Tommy Edman had a grand slam and Paul DeJong went 2 for 4 with a home run and three RBIs to make up St. Louis’ scoring as a team in the win. Matt Wieters, Kolten Wong and Tyler O’Neill each had two hits while Edmundo Sosa chipped in a base knock of his own to finish off the Cardinals’ offense in victory. Dakota Hudson got the win to improve to 9-4 on the year after allowing three runs on six hits over five innings of work. Andrew Miller closed out the 9th for his 2nd save of the season. Adam Wainwright will start game two and is 6-7 with a 3.99 ERA and 89 strikeouts this season. In his career, Wainwright is 9-12 with a 5.01 ERA and 123 strikeouts against Cincinnati.

The Cincinnati Reds will look to bounce back after dropping the series opener on Thursday. Eugenio Suarez had a home run and two RBIs while Juan Graterol and Joey Votto each chipped in an RBI to finish off Cincy’s scoring as a team in the losing effort. Yasiel Puig, Jose Iglesias and Tanner Roark each had a double with Iglesias and Puig each adding two hits. Jesse Winker also went 2 for 5 to round out Cincinnati’s offense in the loss. Tanner Roark gave up two runs on five hits while striking out six over five innings of work, not factoring in the decision. Robert Stephenson took the loss, falling to 2-2 on the year. Tyler Mahle will start game two and is 2-10 with a 4.82 ERA and 101 strikeouts this season. In his career, Mahle is 1-2 with a 5.87 ERA and 11 strikeouts against St. Louis.

St. Louis is 1-4 in Wainwright’s last 5 road starts and 5-1 in their last 6 games overall while the under is 4-0 in Wainwright’s last 4 road starts against a team with a losing record. Cincinnati is 6-20 in Mahle’s last 26 starts and 2-7 in their last 9 games overall while the under is 72-34-4 in their last 110 games overall. St. Louis is 24-11 in the last 35 meetings between these two teams and 14-4 in the last 18 meetings between these two teams in Cincinnati.

I’m guessing Cincinnati is favored because they’re at home, but in all honesty, that’s the only reason I can think of as to why the Reds would be favored in this spot. Sure, Mahle is a better pitcher at home than on the road, and his last start came at Coors Field, but Mahle’s also a pitcher who just allowed ten runs, six earned, in 4.1 innings in that game against the Rockies. Mahle’s lone start against St. Louis this season saw him allow five runs in five innings against the Cards. Wainwright has an ERA well over six on the road and has had issues away from Busch Stadium, but the Cardinals are the team that’s come out flying in the second half and at an underdog price, I think they’re worth a shot on Friday.

Pick:
St. Louis Cardinals -105

Chris has been a sports fan from when he was old enough to pick up a basketball and was a standout offensive lineman throughout high school and college. Chris uses that same instinct, determination and drive to analyze trends and statistics to find and produce winners on a consistent basis. Chris has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2016 and covers a wide array of sports from college and pro football, college basketball, hockey and baseball.

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