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Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals - 7/20/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
St. Louis Cardinals at Cincinnati Reds
Date & Time Saturday July 20, 2019, 7:10 PM (EDT)
Location
Great American Ballpark
Cincinnati, OH
The Line
Cincinnati Reds -135 / St. Louis Cardinals +115
TV Channel
FS-Midwest, FS-Ohio
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The St. Louis Cardinals and the Cincinnati Reds meet in game three of a four game NL Central division set in MLB action from Great American Ballpark on Saturday.

The St. Louis Cardinals will look to win the series and push for a sweep on Sunday after taking game two on Friday by a final score of 12-11. Paul DeJong went 2 for 4 with a home run, a double and four RBIs while Jose Martinez had a home run and three RBIs. Andrew Knizner had a double and an RBI while Kolten Wong, Tyler O’Neill and Paul Goldschmidt each had RBIs as well. Harrison Bader, Yairo Munoz and Tommy Edman each added a base hit as well in the winning effort for the Cardinals. Adam Wainwright gave up seven runs on nine hits while striking out four over 3.1 innings of work, not factoring in the decision. Michael Wacha got the win to improve to 6-4 while Carlos Martinez picked up his 7th save of the season. Miles Mikolas will start game three and is 6-9 with a 4.15 ERA and 78 strikeouts this season. In his career, Mikolas is 2-1 with a 4.20 ERA and 21 strikeouts against Cincinnati.

The Cincinnati Reds will look to bounce back and get a win on the board after dropping their fourth in a row on Friday. Ryan Lavarnway stole the show in the losing effort, going 3 for 4 with a pair of home runs and six RBIs. Jesse Winker had two RBIs and two hits while Joey Votto, Jose Peraza and Yasiel Puig each had two hits with an RBI to round out Cincy’s scoring in defeat with Votto adding a double. Tyler Mahle had a pair of hits and Derek Dietrich had a double while Scooter Gennett, Phillip Ervin, Jose Iglesias and Josh VanMeter each added a base hit as well in the defeat. Mahle gave up four runs on seven hits while striking out five over 5.1 innings of work, not factoring in the decision. Jared Hughes took the loss, falling to 3-3 on the year. Luis Castillo will start game three and is 9-3 with a 2.41 ERA and 134 strikeouts this season. In his career, Castillo is 2-3 with a 3.35 ERA and 43 strikeouts against St. Louis.

St. Louis is 1-4 in Mikolas’ last 5 road starts and 6-1 in their last 7 games overall while the over is 14-6-1 in Mikolas’ last 21 road starts. Cincinnati is 15-7 in Castillo’s last 22 home starts and 1-5 in their last 6 games overall while the under is 6-2 in their last 8 division games. Cincinnati is 4-0 in Castillo’s last 4 starts against St. Louis.

The pus money with St. Louis is tempting given the hot start the Cardinals have had to the second half of the season, along with the fact that Mikolas threw a complete game shutout in his last start. However, Mikolas’ ERA on the road balloons more than five runs compared to his ERA at home, which sits at 7.40 on the road compared to 2.15 at home. Mikolas is also just 1-5 on the road and giving up a .341 batting average away from home this season. Castillo on the other had is allowing just a 1.69 ERA at home and a .146 batting average against and also threw six innings of one run ball against the Cardinals earlier this season, and that start came in St. Louis. Cincinnati also has a lot of momentum after rallying on Friday, despite having the rally fall just short. I think the Reds can pick up a win behind their ace, so I’ll lay the juice with the Reds in this spot.

Pick:
Cincinnati Reds -135

Chris has been a sports fan from when he was old enough to pick up a basketball and was a standout offensive lineman throughout high school and college. Chris uses that same instinct, determination and drive to analyze trends and statistics to find and produce winners on a consistent basis. Chris has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2016 and covers a wide array of sports from college and pro football, college basketball, hockey and baseball.

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