St. Louis Cardinals at Cincinnati Reds
|Date & Time||Thursday August 15, 2019, 7:10 PM (EDT)|
Great American Ballpark
Cincinnati Reds -155 / St. Louis Cardinals +135
The St. Louis Cardinals and the Cincinnati Reds meet in game one of a four game NL Central division set in MLB action from Great American Ballpark on Thursday.
The St. Louis Cardinals will look to build on their current five game winning streak after posting a 6-0 win in their series finale against the Royals on Wednesday. Paul DeJong had a solo home run while going 2 for 4 at the dish while Dexter Fowler, Tommy Edman, Matt Carpenter, Yadier Molina and Randy Arozarena each added RBIs as well in the winning effort. Kolten Wong and Marcell Ozuna each added base hits as well in the victory for the Cards. Dakota Hudson got the win to improve to 11-6 on the year after tossing six shutout innings, allowing just five hits while striking out four. Michael Wacha will start game one and is 6-5 with a 5.54 ERA and 72 strikeouts this season. In his career, Wacha is 12-1 with a 2.79 ERA and 82 strikeouts against Cincinnati.
The Cincinnati Reds could use a win to snap a four game losing streak after being swept by the Nationals to start the week, including a 17-7 beatdown in Wednesday’s series finale. Tucker Barnhart and Freddy Galvis each had a home run and two RBIs with Galvis going 4 for 5 at the dish in the loss. Aristides Aquino hit another solo home run while Jose Iglesias added a double and an RBI. Josh VanMeter, Eugenio Suarez, Joey Votto and Jesse Winker each had a base hit as well to cap off Cincinnati’s offense as a team in the defeat. Trevor Bauer ended up with the loss after allowing nine runs on eight hits while striking out four over 4.1 innings of work. Sonny Gray will start the opener and is 7-6 with a 3.10 ERA and 144 strikeouts this season. This will be Gray’s second career start against St. Louis.
St. Louis is 14-3 in their last 17 division games and 5-0 in their last 5 games overall while the under is 6-0 in their last 6 road games. Cincinnati is 0-4 in their last 4 games overall, 11-1 in Gray’s last 12 starts against a team with a winning record, 9-1 in Gray’s last 10 division starts and 5-0 in Gray’s last 5 home starts while the over is 4-1-1 in their last 6 home games. St. Louis is 14-2 in Wacha’s last 16 starts against Cincinnati, 6-0 in Wacha’s last 6 road starts against the Reds and 16-5 in the last 21 meetings between these two teams in Cincinnati.
I completely understand Cincinnati being favored here, as Wacha has been terrible for parts of this season, while Gray has been stellar since the end of June, giving up two runs or less in seven of his last eight starts with the Reds winning each of his last four starts and nine of his last 11. However, we are getting plus money with the much hotter team in St. Louis that’s in the midst of the wild card race sending out a pitcher in Wacha, who despite his struggles, has owned the Reds in his career. Sometimes, good or bad, a guy just has a team’s number and I think the Cardinals and the plus money are worth a shot on Thursday.